In this paper I analyze whether restrictions to capital mobility reduce countries’ vulnerability to major external shocks. More specifically, I ask if countries that restrict the free flow of international capital have a lower probability of experiencing a sudden stop and being subject to contagion than countries that have a freer degree of capital mobility. I use three new indexes on the degre...

According to the Harberger-Laursen-Metzler (HLM) effect an exogenous increase in the terms of trade faced by a small open economy leads to an improvement in that country’s trade balance. In this paper structural vector autoregression techniques are used to investigate whether there is any systematic pattern in the responses of the trade balance to terms of trade shocks for a large number of sma...

Estimating the price elasticity of China’s imports is difficult because many imports are used to produce exports and because the real effective exchange rate has remained fairly stable. To circumvent the first problem, we control for re-exports, and to increase the discriminatory power of the tests, we employ a panel data set including imports from 25 countries. The results indicate that a 10 p...

Recent sovereign defaults in emerging countries are accompanied by interest rate spikes and deep recessions. This paper develops a small open economy model to study default risk and its interaction with output, consumption, and foreign debt. Default probabilities and interest rates depend on incentives for repayment. Default occurs in equilibrium because asset markets are incomplete. The model ...

This paper considers the role of corruption in impelling capital flight. Identifying corruption as one dimension of poor governance, the empirical analysis explores direct linkages between corruption and capital flight in a broad sample of countries. The novelty of this investigation is that it is based on a portfolio choice model of asset allocation that explicitly recognizes corruption as con...

-The automatic classification technology of web image is important for control the web content. For handy image classification, it is difficult to satisfy people’s demands because of the period, fee and effect. This paper presents a kind of web image automatic classification based on fuzzy pattern recognition, HSV color space and complexion model. The membership function is obtained to extract ...

transmission of human pathogens can be occurred via inert objects. paper currency is a further common contact surface whereby pathogens can be transferred within a population although the significance remains unknown. hence, the aim of the present study was to investigate microbial populations associated with iranian paper currency.this study was carried out by getting 108 samples of the irania...

Department of Economics, University of Isfahan, Iran   Ahmad Googerdchian   Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, University of Isfahan, Iran     Abstract   Implementing a currency :::union::: may lead members to face financial crisis if their financial markets are not ready to adopt themselves to a new situation. There are still problems like ownership concentration and self-gover...

This paper examines the pros and cons of the recent proposal that Argentina should adopt the US dollar as its official currency, rather than have a currency board system in which the units of domestic currency issued are backed “one-to-one” by dollar reserves. The motivation for adopting the dollar seems to be that it could guarantee credibility in monetary policy and eliminate the risk premium...