This paper presents new evidence on the persistence of fluctuations in real GNP. Two measures of persistence are estimated non-parametricaFly using post-war quarterly data from Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States. These estimates are compared with Monte Carlo results from various AR(2J processes. For six Out of seven countries, the results indicate t...

This paper presents new evidence on the persistence of fluctuations in real GNP. Two measures of persistence are estimated non-parametricaFly using post-war quarterly data from Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States. These estimates are compared with Monte Carlo results from various AR(2J processes. For six Out of seven countries, the results indicate t...

This paper examines a simple monetary optimizing model with sticky-prices. Two types of monetary policy rules are considered: constant money growth rules and interest-rate feedback (Taylor-type) rules. In the case of constant money growth rules, we show the existence of limit cycles through the Hopf bifurcation theorem. On the other hand, in the case of the interest-rate feedback rules, we show...

To identify disruptions in credit markets, research on the role of asset prices in economic fluctuations has focused on the information content of various corporate credit spreads. We re-examine this evidence using a broad array of credit spreads constructed directly from the secondary bond prices on outstanding senior unsecured debt issued by a large panel of nonfinancial firms. An advantage o...

Oil price shocks are the major source of economic instability in oil exporting developing countries, including Iran. In this paper a Multi Sector Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model, with emphasis on optimization of oil sector as a producing sector is designed. Furthermore, an optimizing import sector is introduced into the model by considering the price rigidity in imported goods as a...

This paper presents new evidence on the persistence of fluctuations in real GNP. Two measures of persistence are estimated non-parametricaFly using post-war quarterly data from Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States. These estimates are compared with Monte Carlo results from various AR(2J processes. For six Out of seven countries, the results indicate t...

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This paper presents new evidence on the persistence of fluctuations in real GNP. Two measures of persistence are estimated non-parametricaFly using post-war quarterly data from Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States. These estimates are compared with Monte Carlo results from various AR(2J processes. For six Out of seven countries, the results indicate t...