We thank John Donaldson and Ellen McGrattan for invaluable comments.

The aim of this study is to examine the equity premium puzzle in Iran for the quarterly period of 1993-2016. In this regard, the hybrid bivariate Garch model and also fuzzy dummy variables with consumption capital asset pricing model (C-CAPM) have been used. The results of study show that using C-CAPM within fuzzy dummy variables (CCAPM-F), the relative risk aversion coefficient of investor is ...

This paper sets out to address the issue of equity duration, one of several risk measures available for asset and liability management. Equity duration, as derived from the use of traditional dividend discount models, results in extremely long duration estimates for equities often in excess of 50 years for growth stocks. Leibowitz, in his seminal paper (1986), identified an alternative framewor...

While macroeconomic variables have been used extensively to forecast the U.S. equity risk premium and build models to explain it, relatively little attention has been paid to the technical stock market indicators widely employed by practitioners. Our paper fills this gap by studying the forecasting ability of a variety of technical indicators in comparison to that of a number of well-known macr...

This paper develops the CCAPM model to allow for long-run risk in durable consumption. Allowing Epstein-Zin preferences to incorporate non-separability of durable and non-durable consumption in utility provides for an Euler equation which can be shown to provide a much better explanation of equity market features than either the basic CAPM or CCAPM. .The paper incorporates this discount factor ...

This article proposes a flexible but parsimonious specification of the joint dynamics of market risk and return to produce forecasts of a time-varying market equity premium. Our parsimonious volatility model allows components to decay at different rates, generates mean-reverting forecasts, and allows variance targeting. These features contribute to realistic equity premium forecasts for the U.S...

It is often suggested that ambiguity aversion makes individuals more precautionary, thereby offering a potential explanation for the equity premium puzzle. We show that this is not true in general. We consider a model in which risk-and-ambiguity-averse agents can invest in an unambiguously safe asset and in an ambiguous risky asset. We exhibit some sufficient conditions to guarantee that, ceter...

General Equilibrium asset pricing models have a difficult time simultaneously delivering a sizable equity premium, a low and counter-cyclical real risk free rate, as well as cyclical variation in return volatility. To explain these stylized facts, this paper introduces occasionally binding financing constraints that impede producers’ ability to invest in an otherwise standard real business cycl...

We decompose time-varying beta for stock into beta for continuous systematic risk and beta for discontinuous systematic risk. Brownian motion is assumed as nature of price movements in our modeling. Our empirical research is based on high-frequency data for stocks from Tehran Stock Exchange. Our market portfolio experiences 136 days out of 243 trading days with jumps which is a considerable rat...