This paper analyzes the stabilizing properties of alternative monetary policy regimes. In practice there is a choice between two broad types of monetary policy regimes: a fixed exchange rate regime or a floating exchange rate regime. In this paper I compare exchange rate targeting with different floating exchange rate regimes: strict price level targeting, flexible price level targeting and out...

A major puzzle in international finance is the well-documented inability of models based on monetary fundamentals to produce better out-of-sample forecasts of the nominal exchange rate than a naive random walk. While this literature has generally employed statistical measures of forecast accuracy, we investigate whether there is any economic value to the predictive power of monetary fundamental...

We examine optimal monetary policy under prevailing Chinese policies – including capital controls, nominal exchange rate targets, and costly sterilization of foreign capital inflows. China’s combination of capital controls and exchange rate pegs disrupts its monetary policy, precluding adjustments that could maintain macroeconomic stability following a set of shocks that mirror its experience d...

Relative population growth affects relative prices through the so-called BalassaSamuelson (BS) mechanism and that in turn impacts PPP. This paper empirically investigates the relationship between PPP exchange rate and relative population growth in a panel of 80 selected countries. Following the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis this paper argues that relative population growth affects nominal wages ...

R ecent developments in open-economy macroeconomics have progressed under the paradigm of nominal price rigidities, where monetary disturbances are the main source of fluctuations. Following developments in closed-economy models, new open-economy models have combined price rigidities and market imperfections in a fully microfounded intertemporal general equilibrium setup. This framework has bee...

The EMU accession countries are obliged to fulfill the Maastricht convergence criteria prior to entering the EMU. What should be the optimal monetary policy satisfying these criteria? To answer this question, the paper proposes a DSGE model of a two-sector small open economy. First, I derive the micro founded loss function that represents the objective function of the optimal monetary policy no...