نتایج جستجو برای: stock price risk
تعداد نتایج: 1095601 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
In capital markets, stock price forecasting is affected by variety of factors such as political and economic condition and behavior of investors. Determining all effective factors and level of their effectiveness on stock market is very challenging even with technical and knowledge-based analysis by experts. Hence, investors have encountered challenge, doubt and fault in order to invest with mi...
This paper considers the problem of optimal investment, consumption and life insurance acquisition for a wage earner who has CRRA (constant relative risk aversion) preferences. The market model is complete, continuous, the uncertainty is driven by Brownian motion and the stock price has mean reverting drift. The problem is solved by dynamic programming approach and the HJB equation is shown to ...
This paper uses a quantile impulse response approach to investigate the impact of oil price shocks on Chinese stock returns. This process allows us to uncover asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on stock market returns by taking into account the different quantiles of oil price shocks. Our results show that the responses of Chinese stock market returns to oil price shocks differ greatly, dep...
According to the volatility feedback effect, an unexpected increase in squared volatility leads to an immediate decline in the price–dividend ratio. In this paper, we consider the properties of stock price dynamics and option valuations under the volatility feedback effect bymodeling the joint dynamics of stock price, dividends, and volatility in continuous time. Most importantly, our model pre...
هدف این مقاله تجزیه و تحلیل اثرات متغیرهای کلان اقتصادی بر شاخص کل بورس اوراق بهادار در چارچوب تئوری قیمتگذاری آربیتراژ است. این مطالعه، هشت متغیر کلان اقتصادی شامل شاخص قیمت مصرفکننده، نرخ بهره بانکی، قیمت طلا، شاخص تولیدات صنعتی، قیمت نفت، تلاطم قیمت سهام، نرخ ارز و عرضه پول را به عنوان متغیرهای اثرگذار بر شاخص کل قیمت بورس اوراق بهادار تهران، به عنوان شاخص اصلی بازار سهام ایران را بر اساس...
We propose a model to describe stock pinning on option expiration dates. We argue that if the open interest on a particular contract is unusually large, delta-hedging in aggregate by floor market-makers can impact the stock price and drive it to the strike price of the option. We derive a stochastic differential equation for the stock price which has a singular drift that accounts for the price...
Stock price prediction has attracted much attention from both practitioners and researchers. However, most studies in this area ignored the non-stationary nature of stock price series. That is, stock price series do not exhibit identical statistical properties at each point of time. As a result, the relationships between stock price series and their predictors are quite dynamic. It is challengi...
the purpose of this article is to test whether the stock price index of the tehran stock exchange is located in the efficeent set of portfolios or not. in this paper the mehtod introduced by elton, gruber and padberg was used to determine the efficiency of the tse stock price index. the results showed that the tse index is not located in the efficient set.
The purpose of this research is predicting the stock prices using the Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm and Box-Jenkins method. In this way, the information of 165 corporations is collected from 2001 to 2016. Then, this research considers price to earnings per share and earnings per share as main variables. The relevant regression equation was created using two variables of earnings per sha...
In this paper, we suggest a jump diffusion model in markets during financial crisis. Using risk-neutral pricing, we derive a partial differential equation (P.D.E.) for the prices of European options. We find a closed form solution of the P.D.E. in the particular case where the stock price is too large. Then, we use such a solution as a boundary condition in the numerical treatment of the P.D.E....
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