This chapter illustrates a data-mining approach to single-position day trading which uses an evolutionary algorithm to construct a fuzzy predictive model of a financial instrument. The model is expressed as a set of fuzzy IF-THEN rules. The model takes as inputs the open, high, low, and close prices, as well as the values of a number of popular technical indicators on day t and produces a go sh...

This study examines the relationships between the herding of various investor groups and trading noise in the Taiwan stock market to determine whether any of the investor groups tend to herd rationally. The study uses a unique and comprehensive data set on intraday transactions and limit order books of the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). We calculate the high-frequency herding measures and tradin...

Objective: The aim of this study is to model arrival process of informed and uninformed traders into Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) as well as to assess the interaction between two types of traders which is an important yet neglected topic. Methods: In this study, a sequential trade model was estimated based on trading data of 33 stocks belonging to 11 industries of TSE during the period from 201...

Theoretical research as well as empirical evidence offer mixed results regarding individual investor trading strategies and motives behind them. Are investors trading on information or are they simply trying to predict prices based on fads and/or behavioral biases? If investors follow certain patterns, what are those – trend-chasing or contrarian? Do investors watch closely news related to stoc...

The presumed source of the volatility is a trading strategy called “programmed trading.”2 This strategy, which essentially involves trading on small and shortlived price differences for the same group of stocks in the spot, futures and options markets, is not new. The introduction of stock jnde~futures around 1982 and the application of computer techniques to monitor price differences and trigg...

In contrast to empirical evidence, standard theories conclude that transaction costs only have a second order effect on liquidity premia. In this paper, we show that if one incorporates the well-established fact that market volatility during trading periods is significantly higher than during nontrading periods, then transaction costs have a first order effect that is much greater than that fou...

the theoretical base of this paper is the economic growth model that completed with capital stocks (private and public) and human capital. at the first, hypothesis test about constant returns to scale is studied, and then the related variables with macroeconomic policies are added to the model. the results show that 1) the aggregate production function exhibits increasing returns to scale, 2) p...