We analyze conventional and unconventional monetary policies in a dynamic small open-economy model with financial frictions. In the model, financial intermediaries or banks borrow from the world market and lend to domestic households. Banks can borrow abroad up to a multiple of their equity; in turn, there is a limit to how much bank equity households can hold. An economy-wide credit constraint...

Today’s business environment has forced manufacturers and plants to produce high-quality products at low cost and the shortest possible delivery time. To cope with this challenge, manufacturing organizations need to optimize the manufacturing and other functions that are in logical association with each other. Therefore, manufacturing system design and supplier selection process are linked toge...

The recent sharp appreciation of the Canadian dollar vs. the US dollar poses difficulties for the Canadian economy and reignites the debate as to whether Canada should fix the Canadian dollar to the US dollar by implementing a unilateral peg or forming a monetary union. We compare the welfare of different combinations of monetary and currency policies in an open-economy macroeconomic model that...

We investigate how money market news headlines can be used to forecast intraday currency exchange rate movements. The innovation of the approach is that, unlike analysis based on quantifiable information, the forecasts are produced from text describing the current status of world financial markets, as well as political and general economic news. In contrast to numeric time series data textual d...

In this paper, we discuss a Bayesian approach to quantile autoregressive (QAR) time series model estimation and forecasting. Together with a combining forecasts technique, we then predict USD to GBP currency exchange rates. Combined forecasts contain all the information captured by the fitted QAR models at different quantile levels and are therefore better than those obtained from individual mo...

SCM (supply chain management) emphasizes on the strategic cooperative relationship between core enterprise and enterprise alliance. The selection of strategic partners is an important decision-making problem in SCM and is the key to successful SCM. In this paper, aiming for the supplier selection problem, the author discusses a class of AHP (analytical hierarchy process) technique—simulation ap...

This paper compares an Australia-New Zealand currency union to a purely floating exchange rate regime in the context of a structural, two-country open economy model. Micro-foundations support policy assessment by facilitating direct calculation of household welfare. Analysis focuses on changing business cycle volatilities; the role of risk is not considered. At benchmark calibration currency un...

Firms with higher debt relative to its size and negative cash °ows have lower value in the market. Why not the same applies to a currency value of a country? This paper investigates this question and shows empirical evidence that indeed a lower degree of government's ̄scal solvency, represented by higher debt and lower surpluses, implies an real exchange rate depreciation. Empirical results als...