agricultural prices have a high fluctuation and forecasting may help decision making effectively. the aim of this study was to forecast the nominal and real prices of sugar beet and to recognize the appropriate forecasting model. initially the stationary of the series was tested. in order to investigate whether the series are stochastic, the nonparametric test of vald-wulfowitz and parametric t...

The stochastic data envelopment analysis (SDEA) was developed considering the value ofinputs and outputs as random variables. Therefore, statistical distributions play an importantrole in this regard. The skew-normal (SN) distribution is a family of probability densityfunctions that is frequently used in practical situations. In this paper, we assume that the inputand output variables are skew-...

background: the aim of this study was to propose a new stochastic model to study the time course of ethanol elimination in human bodies. methods: the times and amount of alcohol ingested are assumed to be random in controllable intervals. constant elimination rate follows zero order kinetics and is replaced by first order kinetics when the effects of alcohol increase due to alcohol ingestion. s...

Model updating concerns the modification of an existing but inaccurate model with measured data. For models characterized by quadratic pencils, the measured data usually involve incomplete knowledge of natural frequencies, mode shapes, or other spectral information. In conducting the updating, it is often desirable to match only the part of observed data without tampering with the other part of...

design of a logistics network in proper way provides a proper platform for efficient and effective supply chain management. this paper studies a multi-period, multi echelon and multi-product integrated forward-reverse logistics network under uncertainty. first, an efficient complex mixed-integer linear programming (milp) model by considering some real-world assumptions is developed for the inte...

We study the multi-type stochastic evolutionary game with death–birth updating in expanding spatial populations of size N??. The model is a voter perturbation. For typical eligible populations, we require perturbation strengths satisfying 1/N?w?1. Under these conditions, main results prove that vector density processes type obey an extended replicator equation limit, and normalized fluctuations...

At the core of Machine Learning (ML) analytics applied to Big Data is often an expert-suggested model, whose parameters are refined by iteratively processing a training dataset until convergence. The completion time (i.e. convergence time) and quality of the learned model not only depends on the rate at which the refinements are generated but also the quality of each refinement. While data-para...