If returns are not predictable, dividend growth must be predictable, to generate the observed variation in divided yields. I find that the absence of dividend growth predictability gives stronger evidence than does the presence of return predictability. Long-horizon return forecasts give the same strong evidence. These tests exploit the negative correlation of return forecasts with dividend-yie...

Although the classical dividend discount model (DDM) is a wellknown and widely used model in evaluating the intrinsic price of common stock, the practical pattern of dividends, required rate of return or growth rate of dividend do not generally coincide with any of the model’s assumptions. It is just the opportunity to develop a fuzzy logic system that takes these vague parameters into account....

In this study, performance of classification techniques is compared in order to predict dividend policy decisions. We first analyzed the feasibility of all available companies listed in the Korea Exchange (KRX) market as dividend data sets by using classification techniques. Then we developed a prediction model based on support vector machines (SVM). We compare the classification accuracy perfo...

We provide a new explanation for cross-sectional variation in dividend tax capitalization. Our analysis is twofold. First, we conduct a theoretical analysis that shows that liquidity (illiquidity) mitigates (magnifies) the positive effect of dividend taxes on expected rates of return documented in prior literature. Second, we conduct an empirical analysis centered around the Jobs and Growth Tax...

This paper is a survey of some classical contributions and recent progress in identifying optimal dividend payment strategies in the framework of collective risk theory. In particular, available mathematical tools are discussed and some challenges are described that occur under various objective functions and model assumptions. Finally, some open research problems in this field are stated. AMS ...

One of the most important issues in corporate finance is whether dividend changes contain information about future earnings and profitability. Although dividend signaling theories imply that dividend increases signal better prospects (e.g., Bhattacharya 1979; John and Williams 1985; andMiller and Rock 1985), many empirical studies have failed to support this idea. Studies by Watts (1973), Goned...

This study investigates the excess funds hypothesis using samples of special dividends, regular dividend increases, and self-tender offers. All three types of firms tend to have funds in excess of industry norms before the events. The excess funds are largely nonrecurring for special dividend and self-tender offer firms and recurring for regular dividend increase firms. The analysis of the stoc...