Four different error-forecast updating models are investigated in terms of their capability of providing real-time river flow forecast accuracy superior to that of rainfall-runoff models applied in the simulation (nonupdating) mode. The first and most widely used is the single autoregressive (AR) model, the second being an elaboration of that model, namely the autoregressive-threshold (AR-TS) u...

A network of stochastic nodes in which connections are heterogeneously weighted and dynamics may by varied from single-node updating to full synchronization as in familiar cellular automata is studied concerning computational strategies and states of attention in the brain. © 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

The present paper addresses an effective cyber defense model by applying information fusion based game theoretical approaches‎. ‎In the present paper, we are trying to improve previous models by applying stochastic optimal control and robust optimization techniques‎. ‎Jump processes are applied to model different and complex situations in cyber games‎. ‎Applying jump processes we propose some m...

Supplying of blood and blood products is one of the most challenging issues in the healthcare system since blood is as extremely perishable and vital good and donation of blood is a voluntary work. In this paper, we propose a two-stage stochastic selective-covering-inventory-routing (SCIR) model to supply whole blood under uncertainty. Here, set of discrete scenarios are used to display uncerta...

A Bayesian procedure is developed for multivariate stochastic volatility, using state space models. An autoregressive model for the log-returns is employed. We generalize the inverted Wishart distribution to allow for different correlation structure between the observation and state innovation vectors and we extend the convolution between the Wishart and the multivariate singular beta distribut...

Existing data analytics systems have approached predictive model training exclusively from a data-parallel perspective. Data examples are partitioned to multiple workers and training is executed concurrently over different partitions, under various synchronization policies that emphasize speedup or convergence. Since models with millions and even billions of features become increasingly common ...

This paper presents a mathematical model for a flow shop scheduling problem consisting of m machine and n jobs with fuzzy processing times that can be estimated as independent stochastic or fuzzy numbers. In the traditional flow shop scheduling problem, the typical objective is to minimize the makespan). However,, two significant criteria for each schedule in stochastic models are: expectable m...

Vibration based techniques of structural damage detection using model updating method, are computationally expensive for large-scale structures. In this study, after locating precisely the eventual damage of a structure using modal strain energy based index (MSEBI), To efficiently reduce the computational cost of model updating during the optimization process of damage severity detection, the M...

A non-linear Auto-Regressive Exogenous-input model (NARXM) river flow forecasting output-updating procedure is presented. This updating procedure is based on the structure of a multi-layer neural network. The NARXM-neural network updating procedure is tested using the daily discharge forecasts of the soil moisture accounting and routing (SMAR) conceptual model operating on five catchments havin...

This paper presents a combination of strategies for conversion rate (CVR) prediction deployed at the Yahoo! demand side platform (DSP) Brightroll, targeting at modeling extremely high dimensional, sparse data with limited human intervention. We propose a novel probabilistic generative model by tightly integrating components of natural language processing, dynamic transfer learning and scalable ...