In this paper we propose a vine copula based Monte Carlo simulation model for estimating Portfolio Value at Risk. The vine copula model is introduced to analyze the complex dependence structure of different regional markets in the typical financial markets. Then we construct the vine copula based Portfolio Value at Risk model, taking into account the identified high dimensional dependence struc...

Impact of Economic Complexity and Political, Economic, Financial Risk Shock on Income Gap; Application PVAR Model

This study implemented Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) Model to examine short-run dynamic relationships between inflation rate, population and unemployment rate as function of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Economic Community West Africa States (ECOWAS) counties. To achieve this, secondary data was sourced Population, Inflation Unemployment GDP from National Bureau Statistics, Nigeria ECOW...

هدف: تحلیل گفتمان‌های پیرامون جانشین­‌پروری در یک دستگاه دولتی.طراحی/ روش­‌شناسی/ رویکرد: تحقیق حاضر به لحاظ رویکرد، کیفی؛ روش نمونه­‌گیری، هدفمند و جمع­‌آوری داده­‌ها عمدتا مصاحبه نیمه ساختاریافته با 13 نفر از مدیران مورد مطالعه بوده است. داده‌­ها، گفتمان انتقادی بهره‌­گیری الگوی فرکلاف طی سه مرحله توصیف، تفسیر تبیین انجام یافته است.یافته‌­های پژوهش: مهم­ترین یافته­‌های بخش استخراج 416 کد مثبت...

This quantitative research aims to measure the factors that affect economy in 10 ASEAN countries 2014-2020. The method used is panel vector autoregressive (PVAR). results of were divided into several tests. First, causality test shows GDP has an effect on inflation and money supply with a one-way causality. Second, PVAR significant unemployment rate at lags 1 2. follow-up test, namely IRF, shoc...