In the early 1990s, Sweden faced a banking and exchange rate crisis that led it to rescue banks that had experienced large losses on their balance sheets and that threatened a collapse of the banking system. Some analysts and others argue that Sweden’s experience could provide useful lessons for the execution and implementation of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008. The banking cr...

Shadow banking is a term that came out of the financial crisis of 2007-2009. There is a belief that shadow banking was one of the crisis reasons. Because the excessive expansion of shadow banking endangers the financial stability of countries, this paper examines the impact of shadow banking on financial stability using data from 14 countries of the G20 during 2002-2018. We divided countries in...

We propose a new model for policy analysis of banking crises (or systemic bank runs) based on the monetary framework developed by Lagos and Wright (2005). If banks cannot enforce loan repayment and have to secure loans by collateral, a banking crisis due to coordination failure among depositors can occur in response to a sunspot shock, and the banks become insolvent as a result of the bank runs...

The literature on costs of financial instability tends to focus on fiscal costs and the impact on GDP of banking crises. In this paper we analyse the effect of a banking or currency crisis on consumption. We show that consumption plays an important role in the macroeconomic adjustment following a financial crisis. Furthermore, the effect of a crisis is aggravated by high leverage, notably as sh...

We study the connection between banking crises and non-life insurance consumption in 139 countries from 1988 to 2010. After controlling for output, we find a negative excess decline in non-life insurance consumption after the occurrence of a banking crisis only in countries heavily depending on bank credit. The primary contributing factor is motor insurance which loses 113% of the annual premiu...

BACKGROUND To assess whether a banking system crisis increases short-term population cardiovascular mortality rates. METHODS International, longitudinal multivariate regression analysis of cardiovascular disease mortality data from 1960 to 2002 RESULTS A system-wide banking crisis increases population heart disease mortality rates by 6.4% (95% CI: 2.5% to 10.2%, p < 0.01) in high income cou...

China has been enjoyed a fast economic growth in the last three decades. One of the important reasons is its financial reform and development in banking sector. More and more foreign banks and nonstate-owned banks participate into the competition in banking industry. The productivity of banking sector keeps growing dramatically during the golden decade between the 1997 Asian financial crisis an...

To improve the detection of the economic ”danger zones” from which severe banking crises emanate, this paper introduces classification tree ensembles to the banking crisis forecasting literature. I show that their out-of-sample performance in forecasting binary banking crisis indicators surpasses current best-practice early warning systems based on logit models by a substantial margin. I obtain...