T here is always uncertainty about the soundness of an economic model’s structure and parameters. Therefore, central banks normally face with uncertainty about the key economic explanatory relationships. So, policymaker should take into account the uncertainty in formulating monetary policies. The present study is aimed to examine robust optimal monetary policy under uncertainty, by ...

This paper addresses a traditionally sensitive issue concerning the international spillovers from the U.S. monetary policy. The issue is sensitive because many observers feel that U.S. monetary authorities make decisions that have potentially large consequences for the global economy, almost exclusively based on domestic considerations. In the early 1980s, for instance, the focus of the debate ...

The countercyclical monetary policy is a policy that economists recommend to adopt in order to slow down the economic fluctuations. The aim of this study is to address the question that, in the presence of fiscal dominance and considering institutional quality (IQL), what the optimal monetary policy should be during the business cycles? To find the appropriate answer, first, in the framework of...

This paper uses a structural VAR model to quantify the extent of international dependence of several emerging markets in Asia and Latin America. A sizable fraction of macroeconomic fluctuations in emerging markets is attributable to external shocks (in many cases more than 50%). External factors are dichotomized into “U.S. monetary policy” and “everything else” shocks. This further decompositio...

The history of monetary policy in Iran, judging by their performance in keeping the value of the currency, maintaining a steady growth in the Gross Domestic Product, faltering investment, show that monetary policy has not been a portrait of consistent successes, to say the least. As a result of the recent studies two rules have emerged as guideline for policy makers: Taylor rule and McCallum ru...

I analyze monetary policy with interest on reserves and a large balance sheet. I show that conventional theories do not determine inflation in this regime, so I base the analysis on the fiscal theory of the price level. I find that monetary policy can peg the nominal rate, and determine expected inflation. With sticky prices, monetary policy can also affect real interest rates and output, thoug...

Monetary environment as the core of financial system has been functionally designed in light of the new set of extensive goals including financial stability, sustainable noninflationary growth, external sustainability, and price stability. A comprehensive monetary policy framework is proposed for Iran which systematically include the new goals, stance variables, instruments, transmission mechan...

Estimates of instrumental rules can be utilized to describe central bank's behavior and monetary policy stance. In the last decade, considerable attention has been given to time-varying parameter (TVP) specification of monetary policy rules. Constant-parameter reaction functions likely ignore the impact of model uncertainty, shifting preferences and nonlinearities of policymaker's choices. This...