in this paper, economic convergence in selected oic (36 countries) is studied. the convergence hypothesis is tested through three approaches: beta convergence, sigma convergence, and time series model. ols is used for estimating the cross section model and cross variance is used to test the distributive model. for analyzing time series model, we used augmented dicky fuller test. beta convergenc...

In this paper, we propose a new residual analysis method using Fourier series transform into fuzzy time series model for improving the forecasting performance. This hybrid model takes advantage of the high predictable power of fuzzy time series model and Fourier series transform to fit the estimated residuals into frequency spectra, select the low-frequency terms, filter out high-frequency term...

abstract. when a production facility is designed, there are various parameters affecting the number machines such as production capacity and reliability. it is often a tedious task to optimize different objectives simultaneously. the other issue is the uncertainty in many design parameters which makes it difficult to reach a desirable solution. in this paper, we present a new mathematical model...

one of the water resources modeling requirements is sufficient knowledge of long-term series of meteorological and hydrological parameters. in this study the nearest neighbor resampling method presented by lall and sharma was developed. in the developed model, the knn regression was used for time series forecasting instead of local polynomial used in the developed algorithm by prairie. in this ...

this paper attempts to compare the forecasting performance of the arima model and hybrid arma-garch models by using daily data of the iran’s exchange rate against the u.s. dollar (irr/usd) for the period of 20 march 2014 to 20 june 2015. the period of 20 march 2014 to 19 april 2015 was used to build the model while remaining data were used to do out of sample forecasting and check the forecasti...