نتایج جستجو برای: volatility
تعداد نتایج: 19433 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
inflation has always been an economic problem and different solutions have been proposed to control it. although it is said that “higher output lowers inflation rate” but it is true when other factors are constant. this study searches the answer to the following question: “what is the effect of inflation rate and output in a case that inflation rate and output growth has a volatility trend?” to...
F orecasting the volatility of a financial asset has wide implications in finance. Conditional variance extracted from the GARCH framework could be a suitable proxy of financial asset volatility. Option pricing, portfolio optimization, and risk management are examples of implications of conditional variance forecasting. One of the most recent methods of volatility forecasting is Real...
Volatility is a measure of uncertainty that plays a central role in financial theory, risk management, and pricing authority. Turbulence is the conditional variance of changes in asset prices that is not directly observable and is considered a hidden variable that is indirectly calculated using some approximations. To do this, two general approaches are presented in the literature of financial ...
In this article the relationship between market return and volatility is examined by applying out- of- sample methodology and ARCH (M) class models in the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) and international stock exchanges. The results are inconsistent with portfolio theory implications in NASDAQ, ISE and TSE. However I found only negative relationship between unexpected volatility and monthly return...
This paper examines the role of different exchange rate regimes on relationship between exchange rate volatility and economic growth. To investigate this relationship, information of 53 countries with floating and fixed exchange rate regimes in the period of 1987-2016 are considered. GARCH technique is used to estimate exchange rate volatility and Difference GMM technique for estimating the mo...
Price shocks lead to oil price volatility in world oil markets. In response to this volatility, economic growth may take different regime and behavior patterns in different situation. Investigating this multi behavior patterns can be useful for policymakers to reduce the effect of oil price volatility. In this study, an EGARCH model has developed using the seasonal data of OPEC oil basket nomin...
â â â â â â â â abstract: â up to now, the impact of real exchange rate on the non-oil exports of iran has been mainly on focus. however, the more important aspect of the fluctuations in exchange rate is its degree of volatility which can have profound effect on the non-oil exports. hence, the main objective of this paper is to investigate the linkage between non-oil exports and the real exc...
importance of risk and uncertainty in financial markets became more apparent after financial crisis in 2007. volatility is the most important measure of risk in financial markets. thus, modeling volatility of financial markets is one of the important issues in finance and economics. in this paper first we tried to specify key features of volatility of daily returns of tehran stock exchange pric...
This paper investigates empirically the effect of volatility of the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar vis-à-vis the euro on U.S. stock market volatility while controlling for a number of drivers of stock return volatility. Using a GARCH(1, 1) model and using weekly data covering the period from the week of January 1, 1999 through the week of January 25, 2010, it is found that the 9/11 terrorist ...
Utilizing finance conceptual framework, this paper applies a Frontier-Volatility analysis to illuminate regulatory policies effects on volatility under Iranian Banking Prudential Framework over the period 2003 to 2015 using the raw database collected, classified and compiled by the Rahavard Novin Co. version 3, Securities and Stock Exchange Organization. Findings portray that volatility is affe...
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