نتایج جستجو برای: crude oil price forecasting
تعداد نتایج: 288009 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
The characteristics of crude oil and the factors affecting the price of this energy carrier have caused its price forecast to always be considered by researchers, oil market activists, governments and policy makers. Since the price of crude oil is affected by many factors, therefore, continuous studies should be done in this way so that the estimates made over time, the results are more accurat...
â â â â â â â this paper proposes a new forecasting model for investigating relationship between the price of crude oil, as an important energy source and gdp of the us, as the largest oil consumer, and the uk, as the oil producer. gmdh neural network and mlff neural network approaches, which are both non-linear models, are employed to forecast gdp responses to the oil price changes. the resul...
According to International Energy Outlook 2007 the total world demand of energy is projected to increase through 2030 about 95% for the non-OECD region and 24% for OECD nations. Crude oil is one of the most critical energy commodities while with coal and natural gas are projected to provide roughly the 86% share of the total US primary energy supply in 2030. In this paper, we use wavelet neural...
       This paper proposes a new forecasting model for investigating relationship between the price of crude oil, as an important energy source and GDP of the US, as the largest oil consumer, and the UK, as the oil producer. GMDH neural network and MLFF neural network approaches, which are both non-linear models, are employed to forecast GDP responses to the oil price changes. The resul...
This research aims to introduce an ideal model for forecasting Iranian crude oil price movements. It tries to make an all-out analysis of this energy product. Therefore, we tested the ‘predictability’ hypothesis by using the variance ratio test, BDS test and the chaos series test. Later, a structural analysis is a carried out to investigate possible nonlinear patterns in the series. Lyapunov ex...
Abstract Forecasting of crude oil price plays a crucial role in optimization of production, marketing and market strategies. Furthermore, it plays a significant role in government’s policies, because the government sets and implements its policies not only according to the current situation but also according to short run and long run predictions of important economic variables like oil price...
For the modeling of complex and nonlinear crude oil price dynamics and movement, wavelet analysis can decompose the time series and produce multiple economically meaningful decomposition structures based on different assumptions of wavelet families and decomposition scale. However, the determination of the optimal model specification will critically affect the forecasting accuracy. In this pape...
Palm oil is the most consumed and traded vegetable oils in the EU and the world. Increasing non-food uses for vegetable oils in especially feedstock of biofuels in recent years have caused the price volatility to rise in both EU and global market. The most efficient pricing of crude palm oil (CPO) is to found on Bursa Malaysia (BMD), and it provides by far the world’s most liquid palm oil contr...
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