This paper investigates how international money markets reflected credit and liquidity risk during the global financial crisis. After matching the currency denomination, we examine how the Tokyo Interbank Offered Rate (TIBOR) was synchronized with the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR). We find remarkably asymmetric responses in market-specific and currency-specific risk during the crisis. T...

Title of Document: ESSAYS ON INTERNATIONAL FINANCE Fernando Gabriel Im, Doctor of Philosophy, 2012 Directed By: Professor Carmen Reinhart, Department of Economics Professor Carlos Végh, Department of Economics In the first paper, I use industry-level data to investigate the impact of exchange rate arrangements on the productive structure of the economy. The identification strategy has similarit...

Garber and Spencer have argued that dynamic hedging may lead to perverse results when interest rates are used to defend an exchange rate. This paper shows that interest rate changes have little effects on dynamic hedgers when volatility is high.

Support Vector Machine (SVM) is powerful classification technique based on the idea of structural risk minimization. Use of kernel function enables curse of dimensionality to be addressed. However, proper kernel function for certain problem is dependent on specific dataset and as such there is no good method on choice of kernel function. In this paper, SVM is used to build empirical models of c...

Recent studies have conjectured that there may be a link between financial liberalization and financial instability in emerging economies. Most of these studies, however, do not investigate whether emerging economies are becoming structurally more vulnerable to currency and banking crises. In this paper, we argue that emerging economies are systematically becoming more susceptible to both curre...

Keywords: Early warning system Currency crisis Perfect signal Artificial neural networks (ANN) Decision tree Logistic regression a b s t r a c t The purpose of this paper is to develop an early warning system to predict currency crises. In this study, a data set covering the period of January 1992–December 2011 of Turkish economy is used, and an early warning system is developed with artificial...

We have developed a new financial indicator – called the Interest Rate Differential Adjusted for Volatility (IRDAV) measure – to assist investors in currency markets. On a monthly basis, we rank currency pairs according to this measure and generate a basket of pairs with the highest IRDAV values. Under positive market conditions, an IRDAV based investment strategy (buying a currency with high i...

This paper presents a general equilibrium currency crisis model of the ’third generation’, in which the possibility of currency crises is driven by the interplay between private Þrms’ credit-constraints and nominal price rigidities. Despite our emphasis on microfoundations, the model remains sufficiently simple that the policy analysis can be conducted graphically. The analysis hinges on four m...

Sharp exchange rate depreciations in the East Asian crisis countries (Indonesia, Korea, and Thailand) raised doubts about the efficacy of increasing interest rates to defend the currency. Using a standard monetary model of exchange rate determination, this paper shows that tighter monetary policy was in fact associated with an appreciation of the exchange rate in these countries and during the ...