Quantile regression has important applications in risk management, portfolio optimization, and asset pricing. The current paper studies estimation, inference and …nancial applications of quantile regression with cointegrated time series. In addition, a new cointegration model with varying coe¢ cients is proposed. In the proposed model, the value of cointegrating coe¢ cients may be a¤ected by th...

Abstract T his study aimed to examine the Islamic stock market integration between Indonesia and Malaysia, and the effect of foreign interest rates on both stock markets. This study used the monthly time series of Jakarta Islamic Index, Hijrah Syariah Index, and foreign interest rates within a period from August 2000 to January 2016. Result of cointegration test demonstrat...

In an economy where agents hold money, the short interest rate determines the trade-off between money holdings and consumption. Building on this idea, we develop a theoretical model that shows the transmission mechanism through which the short rate finds its way to stock-return predictability regressions. We construct a cointegration relation that links share prices and dividends to the short i...

According to several empirical studies, the linear present-value model fails to explain the behaviour of stock prices in the long run. We analyse the possible presence of threshold cointegration between real stock prices and dividends for the US market during the period from 1871:1 to 2004:6. According to our results, the null hypothesis of linear cointegration between stock prices and dividend...

In this thesis, we study a smooth-transition type of nonlinear cointegration among a dynamic system. Base on the Logistic Smooth Transition Autoregressive (LSTAR) models, the definition of cointegration which is extended form Engle and Granger (1987)’s definition of linear cointegration is introduced. Then statistical test for linear cointegration against nonlinear cointegration is derived. The...

We re-examine Sephton and Larsen's (1991) conclusion that cointegration-based tests for market efficiency suffer from temporal instability. We improve upon their research by i) including a drift term in the vector error correction model (VECM) in the Johansen procedure, ii) correcting the likelihood ratio test statistic for finitesample bias, and iii) fitting the model over longer data sets. We...

Abstract D emonetization initiative by Govt. of India in Nov-Dec, 2016 aimed at addressing the issues like black money, hoarding and overall cleansing the monetary system. This paper in this regard attempts to empirically examine the impact of demonetization drive upon the monetary system by taking data of 180 days prior to Nov, 2016. The cointegration results exhibit show a long run ...

We develop a test for the linear no cointegration null hypothesis in a threshold vector error correction model. We adopt a sup-Wald type test and derive its null asymptotic distribution. A residual-based bootstrap is proposed, and the first-order consistency of the bootstrap is established. A set of Monte Carlo simulations shows that the bootstrap corrects size distortion of asymptotic distribu...

In the first half of the paper I study spurious regressions in panel data. Asymptotic properties of the least-squares dummy variable (LSDV) estimator and other conventional statistics are examined. The asymptotics of LSDV estimator are different from those of the spurious regression in the pure time-series. This has an important consequence for residual-based cointegration tests in panel data, ...