in this paper, by using a model of the new keynesians, we investigated the role of the central bank's accountability to shocks that causes deviations in the performance of the monetary policymakers. for this purpose, we used quarterly data for 69: 1 to 93: 3, and estimated the basic equations of the new keynesians model. then, by calculating the optimal values for the central bank's a...

We consider drift estimation of a discretely observed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a possibly heavy-tailed symmetric Lévy process with positive BlumenthalGetoor activity index β. Under an infill and large-time sampling design, we first establish an asymptotic normality of a self-weighted least absolute deviation estimator with the rate of convergence being √ nh 1−1/β n , where n denotes...

Learning Analytics Dashboards (LAD) provide a means to leverage data to support learners, teachers, and counselors. This paper reports on an in-depth analysis of how learners interact with a LAD. N=1,406 first-year students in 12 different study programs were invited to use a LAD to support them in their transition from secondary to higher education. The LAD provides actionable feedback about f...

Having its origin in theoretical computer science, the Kannan-Lovász-Simonovits (KLS) conjecture is one of major open problems asymptotic convex geometry and high-dimensional probability theory today. In this work, we establish a connection between study large moderate deviations for isotropic log-concave random vectors. We then Euclidean norm orthogonally projected vectors an ℓpn–ball. This le...

Criminal behaviour often involves a combination of physical, mental, social and environmental (multi-)agent aspects, such as neurological deviations, hormones, arousal, (non)empathy, targets and social control. To study the dynamics of these aspects, this paper contributes a dynamical agent-based approach for analysis and simulation of criminal behaviour. It involves dynamically generated desir...

This paper takes the idea of coalitional behaviour groups of people occasionally acting together to their mutual benefit and incorporates it into the framework of evolutionary game theory that underpins the social learning literature. This paper defines an equilibrium selection criterion which we call coalitional stochastic stability (CSS). This differs from existing work on stochastic stabilit...

BACKGROUND The typical pattern for intervention outcome studies for conduct problems has been for effect sizes to dissipate over time with decreasing effects across subsequent follow-ups. AIMS To establish whether the short-term positive effects of a parenting programme are sustained longer term. To observe trends, and costs, in health and social service use after intervention. METHOD Paren...

This work is based on a bottom{-}up approach to the standard{-}model effective field theory (SMEFT), resulting in an equiprobable space of Wilson coefficients. The randomly generated coefficients SMEFT (in Warsaw basis) are treated as pseudo-data and, for each observable, corresponding probability density function computed. goal has been understand how large deviations from SM once scale and ra...