Interrupted Time Series (ITS) analysis represents a powerful quasi-experime-ntal design in which a discontinuity is enforced at a specific intervention point in a time series, and separate regression functions are fitted before and after the intervention point. Segmented linear/quantile regression can be used in ITS designs to isolate intervention effects by estimating the sudden/level change (...

s is a time-frequency transform based on the concept of short-time fourier transform and wavelet transform. the main property of this transform that separate it from the discrete short-time fourier transform is variable frequency resolution. but in this transform the change of resolution of high frequencies to low frequencies is very high. so another transform as a modified s transform is intro...

Mortality, birth rates and retirement play a major role in demographic changes. In most cases, mortality rates decreased in the past century without noticeable decrease in fertility rates, this leads to a significant increase in population growth. In many poor countries like Palestinian territories the number of births has fallen and the life expectancy increased. In this article we concentrate...

This paper describes and evaluates the application of the interactive landscape visualisation system Biosphere3D in a case study of cliff erosion in Norfolk, on the eastern coast of England. The study builds upon previous work on coastal zone management by the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research at the University of East Anglia. Biosphere3D is an open-source system, which supports multip...

A strong environmental change has been recognized in China with the impacts of climate change and intensive human activities on land use. In this paper, first environmental changes in China, such as those caused by human activities, land use, climate change, and social and economic development, are presented. Secondly, the hydrological prediction models and systems and their application in Chin...

In this paper, we address the problem of Engineering Change in a non-deterministic nite state machine framework. We are given a deterministic implementation FSM, and a non-deterministic speci cation FSM, such that the implementation does not meet the speci cation. The problem consists of controlling the implementation FSM in such a way that for all possible sequences of external inputs, the gen...

in this paper, drift change point estimation in the mean of polynomial profiles is considered. for this purpose, the proposed change point estimator is computed using maximum likelihood approach. performance of the proposed estimator is evaluated using monte carlo simulations when t2 control chart issues an out-of-control signal. simulation results show that the performance of the proposed esti...

Recent observations indicate that climate change over the high latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere is dominated by a strengthening of the circumpolar westerly flow that extends from the surface to the stratosphere. Here we demonstrate that the seasonality, structure, and amplitude of the observed climate trends are simulated in a state-of-the-art atmospheric model run with high vertical resolu...

Earned value management (EVM) is a well-known approach in a project control system which uses some indices to track schedule and cost performance of a project. In this paper, a new statistical framework based on self-starting monitoring and change point estimation is proposed to monitor correlated EVM indices which are usually auto-correlated over time and non-normally distributed. Also, a new ...