The stochastic frontier model with heterogeneous technical efficiency explained by exogenous variables is augmented with a sparse spatial autoregressive component for a crosssection data, and a spatial-temporal component for a panel data. An estimation procedure that takes advantage of the additivity of the model is proposed, computational advantages over simultaneous maximum likelihood estimat...

The classical method of process capability analysis necessarily assumes that collected data are independent; nonetheless, some processes such as biological and chemical processes are autocorrelated and violate the independency assumption. Many processes exhibit a certain degree of correlation and can be treated by autoregressive models, among which the autoregressive model of order one (AR (1))...

Autoregressive models are among the best performing neural density estimators. We describe an approach for increasing the flexibility of an autoregressive model, based on modelling the random numbers that the model uses internally when generating data. By constructing a stack of autoregressive models, each modelling the random numbers of the next model in the stack, we obtain a type of normaliz...

A nonlinear autoregressive model, the process feedback nonlinear autoregressive (PFNAR) model, in which the autoregressive coe0cients are a function of the combination of past data, is proposed. The autoregressive coe0cients of the PFNAR model consist of sequential autoregressive parts, and a data process feedback part that feeds back the in2uence from previous data points with “signi4cant dela...

In this paper we develop a time series model which allows long-term disequilibriums to have epochs of non-stationarity, giving the impression that long term relationships between economic variables have temporarily broken down, before they endogenously collapse back towards their long term relationship. This autoregressive root model is shown to be ergodic and covariance stationary under some r...

There are many parameters which are very difficult to calibrate in the threshold autoregressive prediction model for nonlinear time series. The threshold value, autoregressive coefficients, and the delay time are key parameters in the threshold autoregressive prediction model. To improve prediction precision and reduce the uncertainties in the determination of the above parameters, a new DNA de...

This paper poses the problem of model order determination of an autoregressive (AR) pro ess within a Bayesian framework. Several original hierar hi al prior models are proposed that allow for the stability of the model to be enfor ed and a ount for a possible unknown initial state. Obtaining the posterior model order probabilities requires integration of the resulting posterior distribution, an...

In the study, we discussed the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model and enhanced it with wavelet transform to evaluate the daily returns for 1/4/2002-30/12/2011 period in Brent oil market. We proposed discrete wavelet transform generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model to increase the forecasting performance of the generalized autoregressive cond...

The classical method of process capability analysis necessarily assumes that collected data are independent; nonetheless, some processes such as biological and chemical processes are autocorrelated and violate the independency assumption. Many processes exhibit a certain degree of correlation and can be treated by autoregressive models among which the autoregressive model of order one (AR (1)) ...

Heteroscedasticity is often encountered in spatial-data analysis, so a new class of heterogeneous spatial autoregressive models introduced this paper, where the variance parameters are allowed to depend on some explanatory variables. Here, we interested problem parameter estimation and variable selection for both mean models. Then, unified procedure via double-penalized quasi-maximum likelihood...