The spread of Vibrio spp. and the prevalence vibriosis around world are often correlated with global warming, especially an increase in sea surface temperature. However, many ecological virulence factors also trigger species, while occurs at both low high temperatures. Recent studies that focused on a single factor (e.g. temperature) one species V. vulnificus ) showed such as temperature were i...

Prequential testing of a forecaster is known to be manipulable if the test must pass an informed forecaster for all possible true distributions. Stewart (2011) provides a non-manipulable prequential likelihood test that only fails an informed forecaster on a small, category I, set of distributions. We present a prequential test based on calibration that also fails the informed forecaster on at ...

This paper provides a principled and elegant solution to the Gettier problem. The key move is to draw a general metaphysical distinction and conscript it for epistemological purposes. Section 1 introduces the Gettier problem. Sections 2– 5 discuss instructively wrong or incomplete previous proposals. Section 6 presents my solution and explains its virtues. Section 7 answers the most common obje...