نتایج جستجو برای: oil price volatility
تعداد نتایج: 233679 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
abstract: in the paper of black and scholes (1973) a closed form solution for the price of a european option is derived . as extension to the black and scholes model with constant volatility, option pricing model with time varying volatility have been suggested within the frame work of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (garch) . these processes can explain a number of em...
This paper studies transmission of international energy price shocks to various sectors in the Australian stock market. We take the multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (MGARCH) approach to modeling volatility and gather evidence that energy price shocks transmit to the price indices of various sectors classified by the global industry classification standard (...
this research studies the application of hybrid algorithms for predicting the prices of crude oil. brent crude oil price data and hybrid intelligent algorithm (time delay neural network, probabilistic neural network, and fuzzy logic) were used to build intelligent decision support systems for predicting crude oil prices. the proposed model was able to predict future crude oil prices from august...
American U.S. crude oil prices have dropped significantly of late down to a low of less than $30 a barrel in early 2016. At the same time price volatility has increased and crude in storage has reached record amounts in the U.S. America. Low oil prices in particular pose quite a challenge for the survival of U.S. America’s tight-oil industry. In this paper we assess the current profitability an...
Agricultural and energy commodity prices have traditionally exhibited relatively low – even negative correlation. However, the recent increases in biofuel production have altered the agriculture-energy relationship in a fundamental way. The amount of corn utilized for ethanol production in the US has increased from 5% in 2001 to over one-third by the end of the decade. This increase has drawn c...
WHEN THE U.S. INVADED Iraq in March 2003, many economists feared that the war would lead to a sharp decline in Iraqi oil production, a spike in oil prices, and a woeful U.S. economy that would follow the scripts of the oil shocks of 1973, 1978, and 1990. Real oil prices did increase, indeed more than tripled, from $20 in 2001:Q4 to $62 in 2006:Q3 (in 2007 dollars). But the ailments associated w...
S tock returns of companies listed on the stock exchange is one of the most important criteria in assessing the macroeconomic. This study investigates the effect of exchange rate Volatility on the stock exchange Returns of D8 countries. It takes monthly data during the period (2008:1-2015:6) constituting 90 observations. At first we used Panel-GARCH model to estimate Exchange Rate Vo...
the present research aims to evaluate impacts of crude oil price return index, bloomberg petroleum index and bloomberg energy index on stock market returns of 121 companies listed in tehran stock exchange in a 10 years' period from early 2006 to april 2016. first, explanatory variables were aligned with petroleum products index mostly due to application of dollar data. subsequently, to che...
There are several researches that deal with the behavior of SEs and their relationships with different economical factors. These range from papers dealing with this subject through econometrical procedures to statistical methods known as copula. This article considers the impact of oil and gold price on Tehran Stock Exchange market (TSE). Oil and gold are two factors that are essential for the ...
This study examines how crude oil price volatility affected the stock returns of major global and gas corporations during three oil-price wars that took place between October 1991 June 2020. Episodes considered include 1998 Saudi Arabia – Venezuela war, 2014–2016 conflict 2020 Russia war in a time unprecedented crisis caused by COVID-19 pandemic. The persistence prices times specific is capture...
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