A method is presented for identifying an expected profitable set of customers, to offer them an additional insurance product, by estimating a customer specific latent risk profile, for the additional product, by using the customer specific available data for an existing insurance product of the specific customer. For the purpose, a multivariate credibility estimator is considered and we investi...

2 This paper draws on lessons from a UK case study in the management of diffuse microbial pollution from grassland farm systems in the Taw catchment, south west England. We report on the development and preliminary testing of a field-scale faecal indicator organism risk indexing tool (FIORIT). This tool aims to prioritise those fields most vulnerable in terms of their risk of contributing FIOs ...

Decision-making under risk assessment involves dealing with the matter of uncertainty, especially in projects such as tunnel construction. Risk control should include not only measures to reduce the possible consequence of incident, but also exploration measures (information collecting measures) to reduce the uncertainty of the incident. The classical risk assessment model in engineering is R =...

CORAS is a research and technological development project under the Information Society Technologies (IST) Programme (Commission of the European Communities, Directorate-General Information Society). One of the main objectives of CORAS is to develop a practical framework, exploiting methods for risk analysis, semiformal methods for object-oriented modelling, and computerised tools, for a precis...

The paper concerns the ValueSec methodology and tool which support decisions related to the security measures selection in different application contexts. The ValueSec project, financed by the European Commission Seventh Framework Programme (FP7), considers security measures which properly affect risk, are cost effective, bring benefits and are free of different restrictions (political, social,...

This paper investigates the risk exposure arising from the supplier evaluation criteria of cost, quality, delivery, and flexibility. An integrated method of Fuzzy Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (FDEMATEL) and Fuzzy Analytical Network Process (FANP), which is able to address interaction and feedback effects between the criteria and subjectivity in the decision rating, is used to...