In this work, the time series modeling was used to predict the Tazareh coal mine risks. For this purpose, initially, a monthly analysis of the risk constituents including frequency index and incidence severity index was performed. Next, a monthly time series diagram related to each one of these indices was for a nine year period of time from 2005 to 2013. After extrusion of the trend, seasonali...

Abstract In this paper, a novel technique based on fuzzy method is presented for chaotic nonlinear time series prediction. Fuzzy approach with the gradient learning algorithm and methods constitutes the main components of this method. This learning process in this method is similar to conventional gradient descent learning process, except that the input patterns and parameters are stored in mem...

This paper proposes a novel improvement of forecasting approach based on using time-invariant fuzzy time series. In contrast to traditional forecasting methods, fuzzy time series can be also applied to problems, in which historical data are linguistic values. It is shown that proposed time-invariant method improves the performance of forecasting process. Further, the effect of using different n...

1 Università degli Studi di Napoli Federico II, Dipartimento di Architettura, via Toledo 402, 80134 Napoli 5 (Italy); fdimarti,[email protected] 6 * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +39-081-253-8907; Fax: +39-081-253-8905 7 8 Abstract: We define a new seasonal forecasting method based on fuzzy transforms. We use the best 9 interpolating polynomial for extracting the trend of the time serie...

improving time series forecastingaccuracy is an important yet often difficult task.both theoretical and empirical findings haveindicated that integration of several models is an effectiveway to improve predictive performance, especiallywhen the models in combination are quite different. in this paper,a model of the hybrid artificial neural networks andfuzzy model is proposed for time series for...