In this paper we present an approach to identifying patterns of behavior preceding political instability events in countries from sampled factor data. This process is based on the concept of state-space back-chaining. A list of sampled, quantized factor data sampled over a range of discrete times define a ”state-space” of a country, and the list of quantized factor data associated with a countr...

This study attempts to establish the relationship between three types of instabilities and economic growth. Political instability, macroeconomic terrorism, growth are analyzed for period 1970 2019 in Pakistan. The constructs indices above-mentioned variables by adding some new variables. Results show that political GDP per capita have long-run associations. instability is positively related ter...

This article describes and analyses a database on the dynamics of sociopolitical instability in the United States between 1780 and 2010. The database was constructed by digitizing data collected by previous researchers, supplemented by systematic searches of electronic media archives. It includes 1,590 political violence events such as riots, lynchings, and terrorism. Incidence of political vio...

We present this paper in order to suggest a new tool for political science in respect to identifying unstable countries and their root indicators that could suggest areas for political intervention. With more than 98% accuracy, we were able to predict severely unstable political states based on countries with a Fragile States Index (FSI) score of > 100. In addition, we were able to determine th...

Electronic Government (hereafter eGov) is a transformative agent upon political and civic activity: it involves the provision and use of information and services by citizens, businesses and governments; and thus has the potential to increase civic efficiency and transparency; to facilitate interaction between public, private and government entities; and ultimately to promote democracy and polit...

This paper is a study of migration during a period of violent, political conflict in Nepal. Past studies of conflict-induced migration have generally treated conflict as a homogenous event and focused largely on the violent aspects of conflict. In this study, we examine how specific political and violent events, as well as the general context of conflict, affect migration on a monthly basis. Vi...

russia and iran, one with european background and slavic racial origins with the other one being of asian descent with non-slavic racial origins, are playing their roles in building regional and international order according to their respective capacities, capabilities. geopolitical and geostrategic developments and differences in proclaimed and practical approaches have historically changed th...

In this article I investigate whether ‘political engineering’ can work to address problems of party system instability in new democracies. I look at the ambitious recent attempts to engineer the development of stable party politics in Papua New Guinea, one of the few post-colonial states to have maintained an unbroken record of democratic government. Despite its enviable status in this regard, ...