Empirical evidence presented in this paper shows that the predictability of inflation at long horizons varies considerably across countries. Both simple theory and empirical evidence suggest that the crucial factor is the extent to which systematic monetary policy succeeds in stabilising the incipient unit root in inflation. The mechanism by which it does this appears however to be complicated ...

this paper investigates the relationship between inflation and growth uncertainty in iran for the period of 1988-2008 by using quarterly data. we employ generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity in mean (garch-m) model to estimate time-varying conditional residual variance of growth, as a standard measures of growth uncertainty. the empirical evidence shows that growth uncertain...

economy is operating in the region of price stability, public expectations and beliefs about the central bank’s plans and objectives, always important, become even more so. First, because the public can no longer safely assume that the central bank prefers lower to higher inflation, expectations about future policy actions and future inflation may become highly sensitive to what the public perc...

this paper reviews the relationship between inflation rate and minimum wage in iran’s economy over the 1969-2005. according to the economic literature, there is a narrow relationship between inflation rate and minimum wage. some economists believe in increased inflation due to minimum wage. the other group of economists considers the increased inflation as a cause for increasing minimum wage. t...

Within a unified framework, the author conducts an empirical investigation of dynamic interrelationships among inflation, inflation uncertainty, relative price dispersion, and output growth. Focusing on the Canadian industrial sector, the author finds weak evidence that inflation uncertainty rises with the level of inflation, with short-run inflation uncertainty minimized at a trend inflation r...

in literature about inflation targeting, main factor is interest rate. in new surveys, price of some assets as housing is important in inflation targeting. iran inflation targeting is based on money changes and is not based on interest rate and housing price. in this paper, we want to survey problems of wrong policy of iran policy makers. we reveal that, using rate of deposit profit and growth ...