To protect against risks arising from fluctuations in spot prices and better manage risk, investors might evaluate futures markets. The role of price discovery the markets possibility reducing certain increase importance researching relationship between prices. This study aims to determine whether there is a Bitcoin this end, two analyzed using Johansen Cointegration analysis Vector Error Corre...

This paper considers an application of the Markov switching vector error correction model to analysis long-run and short-run dependence Russian real GDP exchange on oil prices. An algorithm for estimation with a priori information state hidden chain in some periods time is provided. It shown that period 1999–2018 two different regimes are well defined: slow adjustment rate sharp reaction respon...

The research was conducted on the topic: Defense Budget and Response of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Nigeria: Co-integration Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) Approach. It investigated how move response to defence budget considering insecurity problem faced by Nigeria during period study. Time series data which spanned from 1981 2019 sourced CBN. collected subjected unit root test, co-...

The main purpose of this study is to ascertain the determinants demand for money and its stability in Azerbaijan using monthly time series data spanning from January 2006 November 2020. Johansen cointegration, vector error correction model (VECM) Impulse Response Function were employed investigate relationship between real (M1), macroeconomic variables, namely income, inflation, interest rate e...

This study examines the significant impact of exchange rate shock on prices of Malaysian importsand exports. In methodology, the study adopts vector error correction (VECM) model using monthlydata of nominal exchange rates, money supply, prices of imports and prices of exports covering theperiod of M1:1999 to M12:2006. For further analysis, we adopt an innovation accounting bysimulating varianc...

In this paper we formulate a model for foreign exchange exposure management and (international) cash management taking into consideration random fluctuations of exchange rates. A vector error correction model (VECM) is used to predict the random behaviour of the forward as well as spot rates connecting dollar and sterling. A two-stage stochastic programming (TWOSP) decision model is formulated ...

We consider structural vector error correction models (VECMs) in which permanent shocks are partially identified with a set of long-run restrictions, and fully identified with an additional set of short-run restrictions. An identification method with a combination of short-run and long-run restrictions has been studied in the vector autoregressive models literature, but not thoroughly applied t...

Along with the growth of marine tourism industry, number global cruise tourists is rapidly increasing; competition among regions to attract increasing. The current study aims verify that industry can be sustainable through its inherent power for long-term balanced convergence within and flexibly respond external shocks such as COVID-19. This applies Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) estimate...