نتایج جستجو برای: Markov chain

تعداد نتایج: 336523  

Accurate forecasting of annual gas consumption of the country plays an important role in energy supply strategies and policy making in this area.  Markov chain grey regression model is considered to be a superior model for analyzing and forecasting annual gas consumption.  This model Markov is a combination of the Markov chain and grey regression models. According to this model, the residual er...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی - دانشکده اقتصاد 1389

در این پایان نامه نشان داده ایم که چگونه می توان مدل ریسک بیمه ای اسپیرر اندرسون را به کمک زنجیره های مارکوف تعریف کرد. سپس به کمک روش های آنالیز ماتریسی احتمال برشکستگی ، میزان مازاد در هنگام برشکستگی و میزان کسری بودجه در زمان وقوع برشکستگی را محاسبه کرده ایم. هدف ما در این پایان نامه بسیار محاسباتی و کاربردی تر از روش های است که در گذشته برای محاسبه این احتمال ارائه شده است. در ابتدا ما نشا...

Journal: :iranian journal of management studies 2011
sepideh sepideh abdollah aaghaie

due to the effective role of markov models in customer relationship management (crm), there is a lack of comprehensive literature review which contains all related literatures. in this paper the focus is on academic databases to find all the articles that had been published in 2011 and earlier. one hundred articles were identified and reviewed to find direct relevance for applying markov models...

Journal: :international journal of finance, accounting and economics studies 0
fraydoon rahnamay roodposhti professor and faculty member of science and research branch of islamic azad university hamid reza vaezi ashtiani phd student, science and research bracnh, faculty of management and economics bahman esmaeili phd student, university of tehran

investors use different approaches to select optimal portfolio. so, optimal investment choices according to return can be interpreted in different models. the traditional approach to allocate portfolio selection called a mean - variance explains. another approach is markov chain. markov chain is a random process without memory. this means that the conditional probability distribution of the nex...

M. Khodabin

In this paper, the ambiguity of nite state irreducible Markov chain trajectories is reminded and is obtained for two state Markov chain. I give an applicable example of this concept in President election

Bahman Esmaeili Fraydoon Rahnamay Roodposhti Hamid Vaezi Ashtiani

Investors use different approaches to select optimal portfolio. so, Optimal investment choices according to return can be interpreted in different models. The traditional approach to allocate portfolio selection called a mean - variance explains. Another approach is Markov chain. Markov chain is a random process without memory. This means that the conditional probability distribution of the nex...

Journal: :iranian journal of science and technology (sciences) 2006
r. meshkani

in a finite stationary markov chain, transition probabilities may depend on some explanatoryvariables. a similar problem has been considered here. the corresponding posteriors are derived andinferences are done using these posteriors. finally, the procedure is illustrated with a real example.

In this study we model the daily rainfall occurrence using Markov Chain Analogue Yearmodel (MCAYM) and the intensity or amount of daily rainfall using three different probability distributions; gamma, exponential and mixed exponential distributions. Combining the occurrence and intensity model we obtain Markov Chain Analogue Year gamma model (MCAYGM), Markov Chain Analogue Year exponentia...

 In this paper we study the relative entropy rate between a homogeneous Markov chain and a hidden Markov chain defined by observing the output of a discrete stochastic channel whose input is the finite state space homogeneous stationary Markov chain. For this purpose, we obtain the relative entropy between two finite subsequences of above mentioned chains with the help of the definition of...

Journal: :آب و خاک 0
احسان امینی بیژن قهرمان کامران داوری محمد موسوی بایگی

abstract agricultural scientists have developed considerable interest in modeling and generation of rainfall as new ways of analyzing rainfall data and assessing its impact on agriculture. a combination of markov chain and gamma distribution function is recognized as a simple approach and is demonstrated to be effective in generating daily rainfall data for many environments. thus the availabil...

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