When revolutionaries or insurgents, broadly defined, indiscriminately attack civilians, they generally attack “complicitous civilians,” i.e., those categories of noncombatants which the revolutionaries see as benefiting from, supporting and/or having a substantial capacity to influence the states that the revolutionaries are attempting to displace or overthrow. Such “categorical” terrorism will...

This article presents a framework for using probabilistic terrorism risk modeling in regulatory analysis. We demonstrate the framework with an example application involving a regulation under consideration, the Western Hemisphere Travel Initiative for the Land Environment, (WHTI-L). First, we estimate annualized loss from terrorist attacks with the Risk Management Solutions (RMS) Probabilistic ...

How are events surrounding the latest Iraq war shaping the future global political economy of oil? The saliency of Iraq’s oil resources suggests a trend towards intensified great-power competition to dominate energy-rich provinces and transportation corridors. Yet, the nature of the oil trade, Iraq’s insurrection, and Sino-American economic interdependence indicate barriers to unilateral attemp...

The concept of warning behaviors offers an additional perspective in threat assessment. Warning behaviors are acts which constitute evidence of increasing or accelerating risk. They are acute, dynamic, and particularly toxic changes in patterns of behavior which may aid in structuring a professional's judgment that an individual of concern now poses a threat - whether the actual target has been...

In this paper, I present additional information for policy-makers and researchers to consider in response to the view proposed by Potts et al that “the pill is mightier than the sword.” I identify states with both high rates of terrorism and a youth bulge and discuss correlates of both these societal characteristics. The research examined supports the view that factors other than access to fami...

The status and the treatment of detainees in the ‘war on terror’ is one of the major contentious topics in current transatlantic relations. This article aims to explain the reasons for transatlantic disunity on this issue as well as to assess its impact on the stability and the persistence of the transatlantic security community. I argue that divergent strategic cultures are the main source of ...

Web Publication: 06 February 2004 There should be no doubt by now that the challenge of terrorism has left an indelible mark on the world as we know it. From the 11 September 2001 assaults on the New York City World Trade Center and the US Pentagon to the daily carnage in Iraq, as the traditional Turkish expression goes, we are truly "living the history". No group is as intimately connected to ...

In this paper, we discuss terrorism as an adversity to global security, with special emphasis on Kosovo. The presented data shows that today, poses a risk more than half of the world’s population. Although small country, Kosovo, has not been left out negative societal phenomenon. More specifically, according international reports, threat and danger Kosovo from Islamic extremism increased; it is...