This paper analyses the time series properties of the daily return from the ten year bond futures contracts traded on the Sydney Futures Exchange (SFE), together with the transmission of volatility from other interest rate futures contracts. The methodology relies on appropriate modelling of the conditional hetersocedasticity observed in the futures price change series. It is then evidnt that t...

Over the counter (OTC) forward contracts are regularly traded by hedgers at maturities beyond the longest-dated futures contract. The presence of seasonality in agricultural commodities creates additional uncertainty for obtaining fair prices for OTC forward contract trades beyond the liquid futures strip. This paper employs an augmented Nelson-Siegel function to obtain seasonal agricultural co...

A futures contract is an agreement between a seller and a buyer that calls for the seller to deliver to the buyer a specified quantity and grade of an identified commodity, at a fixed time in the future, and at a price agreed in the contract. Stock index futures contract specify an equity index as the underlying asset. Arbitrage opportunity exists when the actual futures price deviates from the...

Our results find that futures contracts with different maturities for emissions allowances exhibit a significant cointegration relationship by using two-step EG model, similar market information has a convergent effect on prices spreads of futures contracts with different maturities. Convenience yields implied from the futures markets exhibit a significant options property. Convenience yields a...

This paper considers a class of Heath-Jarrow-Morton (1992) term structure models, characterized by time deterministic volatilities for the instantaneous forward rate. The bias that arises from using observed futures yields as a proxy for the unobserved instantaneous forward rate is analyzed. The fact that futures contracts can be viewed as derivative instruments on the forward rate is used to d...

~t1JNCE the introduction of futures trading in 3-month Treasury bills in 1976, yields on these futures contracts have been examined for clues as to market expectations of the future course of interest rates. Although there are difficulties in isolating these expectations, the yields on futures contracts do embody information about market expectations of future interest rates.’ However, similar ...

T existence of mandatory emission trading schemes in Europe and the United States, and the increased liquidity of trading on futures contracts on CO2 emissions allowances, led naturally to the next step in the development of these markets: These futures contracts are now used as underliers for a vibrant derivative market. In this paper, we give a rigorous analysis of a simple risk-neutral reduc...

The prices of financial futures contracts can be interpreted as forecasts of the spot rates, which will apply at the final delivery date of that contract. Financial futures contracts have been traded daily since the early 1980s and provide a substantial bank of data to test the forecasting efficiency of such contracts. Tests are carried out to examine whether the interest rates implied by the f...

This paper considers the multiperiod hedging decision in a framework of mean-reverting spot prices and unbiased futures markets. The task is to determine the optimal hedging path, i.e., the sequence of positions in futures contracts with the objective of minimizing the variance of an uncertain future cash flow. The model is used to illustrate both hedging using a matchedmaturity futures contrac...

The agricultural goods futures market has recently regained the interest of corporate business, research institutions, and governments. This renewed interest is brought about by the increasing volatility of the prices of agricultural raw materials. In turn, these reflect the shift that has taken place in the European Union’s joint agricultural policy: from price support to income support and to...