نتایج جستجو برای: svar model

تعداد نتایج: 2104698  

Journal: :Religionsvidenskabeligt Tidsskrift 1994

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی 1390

over the past decades a number of approaches have been applied for forecasting mortality. in 1992, a new method for long-run forecast of the level and age pattern of mortality was published by lee and carter. this method was welcomed by many authors so it was extended through a wider class of generalized, parametric and nonlinear model. this model represents one of the most influential recent d...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه الزهراء - دانشکده علوم اجتماعی و اقتصادی 1393

در این مطالعه به بررسی اثرات سیاست های پولی بر روی بازدهی سهام با استفاده از مدل خودتوضیح برداری ساختاری (svar) طی سال های 1390-1370 پرداخته شده است. این مدل، با استفاده از متغیرهای مانده واقعی پول، بازده سهام به عنوان متغیرهای اصلی و نرخ ارز حقیقی و قیمت واقعی سکه به عنوان متغیرهای کنترل (بر اساس داده های ماهانه) برآورد شده است. به منظور شناسایی تکانه های ساختاری نیز از روش بلانچارد_کاه استفاد...

2012
Helmut Lütkepohl

Identification of shocks of interest is a central problem in structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) modelling. Identification is often achieved by imposing restrictions on the impact or long-run effects of shocks or by considering sign restrictions for the impulse responses. In a number of articles changes in the volatility of the shocks have also been used for identification. The present stud...

2007

I investigate the convergence of demand and supply shocks in new EU member countries to those of the EU. High synchronization of the shocks would indicate relatively low costs of joining a monetary union. Applying the Kalman filter to demand and supply shocks recovered from SVAR, I calculate time varying coefficients in regression of shocks in individual countries versus the EU. For most countr...

Journal: :Journal of Commodity Markets 2023

This paper assesses the effects and transmission mechanisms of global liquidity commodity market shocks in Mongolia, a commodity-exporting developing economy, using structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model. Results show that boom bust cycles international financial markets lead to business economy as these account for 30, 45, 60 percent domestic output, real exchange rate, lending rate flu...

Journal: :Energies 2022

This paper aims to explore the dynamic relationships between crude oil price (shocks) and investor sentiment. Specifically, this utilizes web crawler construct Chinese sentiment index. The structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model is then used decompose shocks into three types of shocks. Finally, wavelet coherence analysis (WTC) employed study correlation in time frequency domain, their asy...

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