Evaluation model for emergency evacuation time of population in crowded places

نویسندگان

  • Hamedi, Mohadeseh PhD Student, Crisis Management Department of Crisis Management, Faculty of Passive Defense, Malek Ashtar University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
  • Jafari, Parviz Assistant Professor of Crisis Management, Faculty of Passive Defense , Malek Ashtar University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
  • Nekooie, Mohammad Ali Assistant Professor of Crisis Management, Faculty of Passive Defense , Malek Ashtar University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
چکیده مقاله:

Background and objective: Emergency evacuation is one of the first stages of crisis management, which should be done in the shortest possible time and can have a great effect in reducing the death rate caused by the occurrence of danger. So the purpose of this article is to evaluate the emergency evacuation time of Mehrabad Airport in emergency situations through the simulation of emergency population evacuation strategies. Method: The research method is descriptive-analytical, in terms of solving the combined problem and the type of explanatory results. Collecting field and documentary information has been done. The statistical population includes 53 specialists, academic staff and graduate students. Random sampling and Cochran's formula were used. After conducting the interview and completing the questionnaire, the scenarios with a maximum of two incompatible factors were obtained from the Wizard software, and then the fifth scenario and two modes A and B were modeled in the Any Logic software. Findings: The simulation results have shown. The evacuation time in the fifth scenario is higher than the other scenarios because the inspection room itself has a gate that reduces the speed of people leaving and increases the time required for people to leave. The results show that in case B, the time has increased compared to case A, in fact, in case A, 3600 people leave the place in 98 minutes, and in case B, the same number of people leave the place in 105 minutes. The reason for the increased time in mode B is because only the obstacles on the path are removed and the door is not added.  Conclusion: It can be concluded that only removing the obstacles is not an efficient method to reduce the evacuation time and the emergency door should also be added to the model. Also, according to the fifth scenario, the resilience of airport hall number 2 is not suitable in emergency situations because in the event of a crisis and an increase in congestion, the level of fear and speed is very high. In fact, in the event of a crisis, the airport in question is able to safely evacuate when the number of people exceeds 1000, since the number of people in normal conditions is 2000. Unlike the previous researches that had a one-dimensional look at the issue of emergency evacuation, this article has a mixed approach.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

On the Crowded Places Multi-Exits Emergency Evacuation Model and Algorithm

Emergency evacuation in the crowed places was discussed, under the different analysis, description, and relevant research backgrounds. First, the evacuation shortest path optimization model was established. Then the optimization solution results obtained by using of software Lingo were analyzed and verified. Finally, the quantitative solution results were conversed to the version of variable, s...

متن کامل

an application of equilibrium model for crude oil tanker ships insurance futures in iran

با توجه به تحریم های بین المملی علیه صنعت بیمه ایران امکان استفاده از بازارهای بین المملی بیمه ای برای نفتکش های ایرانی وجود ندارد. از طرفی از آنجایی که یکی از نوآوری های اخیر استفاده از بازارهای مالی به منظور ریسک های فاجعه آمیز می باشد. از اینرو در این پایان نامه سعی شده است با استفاده از این نوآوری ها با طراحی اوراق اختیارات راهی نو جهت بیمه گردن نفت کش های ایرانی ارائه نمود. از آنجایی که بر...

Solutions to increase the speed of emergency evacuation of population in underground public spaces (Case study: Metro stations)

Background and objective: Public spaces such as metro stations are one of the most important elements of the citychr('39')s spatial construction. People from different classes and ages are present in these spaces and social and service activities are taking place in it. And people from different walks of life come to it and social and service activities take place in it. Underground subway stat...

متن کامل

Ridesharing for Emergency Evacuation

In this paper, we consider the evacuation problem that consists of grouping and routing evacuees to safe zones. Grouping evacuees reduces congestion on roads, addresses fuel shortage, and supports individuals with limited access to transportation means. We propose a mixed integer programming model where individuals with vehicles are instructed to pick up others along their route in order to eva...

متن کامل

a time-series analysis of the demand for life insurance in iran

با توجه به تجزیه و تحلیل داده ها ما دریافتیم که سطح درامد و تعداد نمایندگیها باتقاضای بیمه عمر رابطه مستقیم دارند و نرخ بهره و بار تکفل با تقاضای بیمه عمر رابطه عکس دارند

evaluation of sadr eminence in safavid period

چکیده: یکی از دوره های مهم تاریخی ایران به لحاظ تأمین استقلال ملی مذهبی و حتی تأثیر آن بر فرهنگ و مذهب ایرانیان، دوره صفویه است. رسمیت دادن و رواج مذهب شیعه توسط شاه اسماعیل اول، یکی از مهمترین اقدامات این دولت محسوب می شود. بنابراین برای اجرای این سیاست، وی منصب صدارت را به عنوان منصبی مذهبی- حکو متی ایجاد کرد .این منصب از دوره ی تیموریان ایجاد شده بود ولی در اواخر این دوره اهمیت بیشتری یافت...

15 صفحه اول

منابع من

با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ذخیره در منابع من قبلا به منابع من ذحیره شده

{@ msg_add @}


عنوان ژورنال

دوره 12  شماره 4

صفحات  455- 470

تاریخ انتشار 2023-03

با دنبال کردن یک ژورنال هنگامی که شماره جدید این ژورنال منتشر می شود به شما از طریق ایمیل اطلاع داده می شود.

کلمات کلیدی

کلمات کلیدی برای این مقاله ارائه نشده است

میزبانی شده توسط پلتفرم ابری doprax.com

copyright © 2015-2023