Identification the Periods of Formation and Bursting of Speculative Bubbles in Iranian Stock Market Using Quantitative Models
The purpose of this study is to investigate and identify the periods of formation and bursting of speculative bubbles in Iran's capital market by creating a state space model and two-mode switching regime (mode 1 is bubble growth and burst stage and mode 2 is the time of bubble loss) during the period from April 2011 to March 2018. The Oxmetrics 7 software is used to investigate the existence of multiple bubbles and research objective. The results of the study of the state space switches confirm the bubble of the capital market in Iran during four periods in the research domain. The life span of the first speculative bubble is 2 months from October to November 2011, the second is 8 months from March to October 2013, the third is 3 months from December 2015 to February 2016, and the fourth period of bubble is 5 months from August to December 2017. Therefore, the result of the research stipulates that the stock index of the Iranian capital market in the realm of research time period has had 18 months of bubbles and has spent 66 months in balance.
عدم تشخیص حبابهای قیمت دارایی و نوع آن (یگانه و چندگانه) موجب اثرات مخربی بر اقتصاد میشود. ابزارهای اقتصادی جدید، نه تنها تحلیل رفتار انفجاری ملایم حباب را ممکن گردانیده؛ بلکه تعیین تاریخ شروع و خاتمه آنها را نیز مهیا کرده است. هدف مطالعه حاضر کشف حبابهای قیمت بورس اوراق بهادار تهران و شرکت فرابورس ایران و تعیین تاریخهای شروع، انفجار و محو کامل حباب در دوره 01/1389 تا 01/1395 است. در این ر...متن کامل
on the relationship between using discourse markers and the quality of expository and argumentative academic writing of iranian english majors
the aim of the present study was to investigate the frequency and the type of discourse markers used in the argumentative and expository writings of iranian efl learners and the differences between these text features in the two essay genres. the study also aimed at examining the influence of the use of discourse markers on the participants’ writing quality. to this end the discourse markers us...15 صفحه اول
Analysis of the Behavior of Amateur and Professional Investors’ Impact on the Formation of Bubbles in Tehran Stock Market
The presence of bubbles in the markets and its formation has been regarded by economists and they have been looking to develop methods that can be recognized by using appropriate method for the formation of bubbles. In this paper, first, the formation of bubbles is tested using the new unit root test known as Phillips test (Generalized Sup ADF test) for 50 companies in the Tehran Stock Exchange...متن کامل
formation and evolution of regional organizations: the case study of the economic cooperation organization (eco)
abstract because of the many geopolitical, geo economical and geo strategically potentials and communicational capabilities of eco region, members can expand the convergence and the integration in base of this organization that have important impact on members development and expanding peace in international and regional level. based on quality analyzing of library findings and experts interv...15 صفحه اول
the investigation of research articles in applied linguistics: convergence and divergence in iranian elt context
the evaluation and comparison of two esp textbooks available on the iranian market for teaching english to the students of medicine
abstract this study evaluated and compared medical terminology and english for the students of medicine (ii) as two representatives of the textbooks available on the iranian market for teaching english to the students of medicine. this research was performed on the basis of a teacher’s and a number of students’ attitudes and the students’ needs analysis for two reasons: first, to investigate...15 صفحه اول
دوره 4 شماره 4
صفحات 129- 140
تاریخ انتشار 2019-10-01
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