Using Regression based Control Limits and Probability Mixture Models for Monitoring Customer Behavior

نویسندگان

  • A. Aghaie Department of Industrial Engineering, KN Toosi University of Technology, Tehran, Iran. 1999143344
  • Y. Samimi Department of Industrial Engineering, KN Toosi University of Technology, Tehran, Iran. 1999143344
چکیده مقاله:

In order to achieve the maximum flexibility in adaptation to ever changing customer’s expectations in customer relationship management, appropriate measures of customer behavior should be continually monitored. To this end, control charts adjusted for buyer’s/visitor’s prior intention to repurchase or visit again are suitable means taking into account the heterogeneity across customers. In the case of a subscription-based service provider, this paper discusses three types of adjusted control charts considering grouped data on attribute usage measures are available at each subscription period. With appreciating the characterizing effect of customer’s overall satisfaction on his future behavior, regression based models and probability mixture models are used to account for heterogeneity in customers’ mean usage rate. Besides adjusted Shewhart and CUSUM control charts for Bernoulli and Poisson distributed usage indicators, the likelihood ratio test based on mixture probability models are investigated in term of detect ability of the shifts in usage behavior through a comparative simulation study.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

analysis of ruin probability for insurance companies using markov chain

در این پایان نامه نشان داده ایم که چگونه می توان مدل ریسک بیمه ای اسپیرر اندرسون را به کمک زنجیره های مارکوف تعریف کرد. سپس به کمک روش های آنالیز ماتریسی احتمال برشکستگی ، میزان مازاد در هنگام برشکستگی و میزان کسری بودجه در زمان وقوع برشکستگی را محاسبه کرده ایم. هدف ما در این پایان نامه بسیار محاسباتی و کاربردی تر از روش های است که در گذشته برای محاسبه این احتمال ارائه شده است. در ابتدا ما نشا...

15 صفحه اول

Robust Mixture Regression Models Using T - Distribution

In this report, we propose a robust mixture of regression based on t-distribution by extending the mixture of t-distributions proposed by Peel and McLachlan (2000) to the regression setting. This new mixture of regression model is robust to outliers in y direction but not robust to the outliers with high leverage points. In order to combat this, we also propose a modified version of the propose...

متن کامل

A risk adjusted self-starting Bernoulli CUSUM control chart with dynamic probability control limits

Usually, in monitoring schemes the nominal value of the process parameter is assumed known. However, this assumption is violated owing to costly sampling and lack of data particularly in healthcare systems. On the other hand, applying a fixed control limit for the risk-adjusted Bernoulli chart causes to a variable in-control average run length performance for patient populations with dissimilar...

متن کامل

Predicting Customer Models Using Behavior-Based Features in Shops

Recent sensor technologies have enabled the capture of users’ behavior data. Given the large amount of data currently available from sensor-equipped environments, it is important to attempt characterization of the sensor data for automatically modeling users in a ubiquitous and mobile computing environment. As described herein, we propose a method that predicts a customer model using features b...

متن کامل

Probability Models for Customer-Base Analysis

As more firms begin to collect (and seek value from) richer customer-level datasets, a focus on the emerging concept of customer-base analysis is becoming increasingly common and critical. Such analyses include forward-looking projections ranging from aggregate-level sales trajectories to individual-level conditional expectations (which, in turn, can be used to derive estimates of customer life...

متن کامل

منابع من

با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ذخیره در منابع من قبلا به منابع من ذحیره شده

{@ msg_add @}


عنوان ژورنال

دوره 2  شماره 4

صفحات  271- 287

تاریخ انتشار 2009-01-01

با دنبال کردن یک ژورنال هنگامی که شماره جدید این ژورنال منتشر می شود به شما از طریق ایمیل اطلاع داده می شود.

میزبانی شده توسط پلتفرم ابری doprax.com

copyright © 2015-2023