نتایج جستجو برای: short term price forecasting

تعداد نتایج: 997276  

The development of new technologies has confronted the entire domain of science and industry with issues of big data's scalability as well as its integration with the purpose of forecasting analytics in its life cycle. In predictive analytics, the forecast of near-future and recent past - or in other words, the now-casting - is the continuous study of real-time events and constantly updated whe...

2014
Patel Parth Manoj Ashish Pravinchandra Shah

Load forecasting is an important component for power system energy management system. Precise load forecasting helps the electric utility to make unit commitment decisions, reduce spinning reserve capacity and schedule device maintenance plan properly and it also reduces the generation cost and increases reliability of power systems. In this work, a fuzzy logic approach for short term load fore...

2004
Zunxiong Liu Zhijun Kuang Deyun Zhang

Based on Wavelet and Reconstructed Phase Space Zunxiong Liu, Zhijun Kuang, Deyun Zhang 1.Dept. of Information and Communication Eng, Xi’an Jiaotong University. Xi’an, Shanxi, China. 2.Dept. of Information Eng, East China Jiaotong University. Nanchang, Jiangxi, China Abstract: This paper proposed wavelet combination method for short-term forecasting, which makes merit of wavelet decomposition an...

2005
Y. Lee

This paper presents a forecasting technique of the short-term system marginal price (SMP) using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The SMP forecasting is a very important element in an electricity market for the optimal biddings of market participants as well as for market stabilization of regulatory bodies. Input data are organized in two different approaches, time-axis and day-axis approache...

The main objective of this study is to investigate the effects of oil shocks on GDP, prices level, money and exchange rates in Iran by using the structural vector error correction (SVEC) approach model covering the period 1980Q2-2010Q1. The findings of this study reveal that positive shock in oil real price has significant and positive effect on the real GDP in the short, medium and long. The i...

Abstract Forecasting electrical energy demand and consumption is one of the important decision-making tools in distributing companies for making contracts scheduling and purchasing electrical energy. This paper studies load consumption modeling in Hamedan city province distribution network by applying ESN neural network. Weather forecasting data such as minimum day temperature, average day temp...

2001
P. Geoffrey Allen

Forecasts of agricultural production and prices are intended to be useful for farmers, governments, and agribusiness industries. Because of the special position of food production in a nation’s security, governments have become both principal suppliers and main users of agricultural forecasts. They need internal forecasts to execute policies that provide technical and market support for the agr...

2013
Luis Hernandez Javier M. Aguiar Belén Carro Antonio J. Sanchez-Esguevillas Jaime Lloret

Electricity is indispensable and of strategic importance to national economies. Consequently, electric utilities make an effort to balance power generation and demand in order to offer a good service at a competitive price. For this purpose, these utilities need electric load forecasts to be as accurate as possible. However, electric load depends on many factors (day of the week, month of the y...

2006

In this paper, I examine the potential of mobile alerting services empowering investors to react quickly to critical market events. Therefore, an analysis of short-term (intraday) price effects is performed. I find abnormal returns to company announcements which are completed within a timeframe of minutes. To make use of these findings, these price effects are predicted using pre-defined extern...

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