نتایج جستجو برای: technological forecasting
تعداد نتایج: 124741 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
over the past decades a number of approaches have been applied for forecasting mortality. in 1992, a new method for long-run forecast of the level and age pattern of mortality was published by lee and carter. this method was welcomed by many authors so it was extended through a wider class of generalized, parametric and nonlinear model. this model represents one of the most influential recent d...
Abstract Forecasting electrical energy demand and consumption is one of the important decision-making tools in distributing companies for making contracts scheduling and purchasing electrical energy. This paper studies load consumption modeling in Hamedan city province distribution network by applying ESN neural network. Weather forecasting data such as minimum day temperature, average day temp...
Improving time series forecastingaccuracy is an important yet often difficult task.Both theoretical and empirical findings haveindicated that integration of several models is an effectiveway to improve predictive performance, especiallywhen the models in combination are quite different. In this paper,a model of the hybrid artificial neural networks andfuzzy model is proposed for time series for...
Introduction In inviting these perspectives, Hal Linstone wrote that technology forecasting (TF) seems to have peaked around 1970 with a decline in methodological advance thereafter. That stimulated me to conduct a bibliometric analysis of TF activity over the past dozen years. Results support Hal’s contention, but also point toward “next wave” possibilities. Before digging into the data, it is...
computational intelligence approaches have gradually established themselves as a popular tool for forecasting the complicated financial markets. forecasting accuracy is one of the most important features of forecasting models; hence, never has research directed at improving upon the effectiveness of time series models stopped. nowadays, despite the numerous time series forecasting models propos...
abstract forecasting electrical energy demand and consumption is one of the important decision-making tools in distributing companies for making contracts scheduling and purchasing electrical energy. this paper studies load consumption modeling in hamedan city province distribution network by applying esn neural network. weather forecasting data such as minimum day temperature, average day temp...
improving time series forecastingaccuracy is an important yet often difficult task.both theoretical and empirical findings haveindicated that integration of several models is an effectiveway to improve predictive performance, especiallywhen the models in combination are quite different. in this paper,a model of the hybrid artificial neural networks andfuzzy model is proposed for time series for...
Renewable wind generation presents many challenges for accurate and timely generation forecasts due to site topology, turbine layout and their potential wake effects and local network constraints, particularly for generators operating in fast changing, low or high wind resource conditions. Internationally, short term generation forecasting for wind power plants has become a critical issue for m...
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