Modelling virulence evolution of multihost parasites in heterogeneous host systems requires knowledge of the parasite biology over its various hosts. We modelled the evolution of virulence of a generalist plant virus, Cucumber mosaic virus (CMV) over two hosts, in which CMV genotypes differ for within-host multiplication and virulence. According to knowledge on CMV biology over different hosts,...

Natural selection acts on virus populations at two distinct but interrelated levels: within individual hosts and between them. Studies of the evolution of virulence typically focus on selection acting at the epidemiological or between-host level and demonstrate the importance of trade-offs between disease transmission and virulence rates. Within-host studies reach similar conclusions regarding ...

Background The first outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was successfully restrained in many countries around the world by means of a severe lockdown. Now, we are entering the second phase of the pandemics in which the spread of the virus needs to be contained within the limits that national health systems can cope with. This second phase of the epidemics is expected to last until a...

We formulate and analyze a multi-group coupled within-host model of ODEs and between-host model of ODE and first-order PDEs, using the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) for illustration. The basic reproduction number of the multi-group coupled epidemiological model is derived, steady states solutions are calculated and stability analysis of equilbria is investigated. An optimal control problem...

The acquisition by parasites of the capacity to infect resistant host genotypes, that is, resistance-breaking, is predicted to be hindered by across-host fitness trade-offs. All analyses of costs of resistance-breaking in plant viruses have focused on within-host multiplication without considering other fitness components, which may limit understanding of virus evolution. We have reported that ...

We present a method to infer the role of selection acting during the within-host evolution of the influenza virus from short-read genome sequence data. Linkage disequilibrium between loci is accounted for by treating short-read sequences as noisy multilocus emissions from an underlying model of haplotype evolution. A hierarchical model-selection procedure is used to infer the underlying fitness...

We present a method to infer the role of selection acting during the within-host evolution of the influenza virus from short-read genome sequence data. Linkage disequilibrium between loci is accounted for by treating short-read sequences as noisy multilocus emissions from an underlying model of haplotype evolution. A hierarchical model-selection procedure is used to infer the underlying fitness...