This paper proposes an unobserved fundamental component of volatility as a measure of risk. This concept of fundamental volatility may be more meaningful than the usual measures of volatility for market regulators. Fundamental volatility can be obtained using a stochastic volatility model, which allows us to `®lterÕ out the signal in the volatility information. We decompose four FTSE100 stock i...

In financial markets, errors in option hedging can arise from two sources. First, the option value is a nonlinear function of the underlying; therefore, hedging is instantaneous and hedging with discrete rebalancing gives rise to error. Frequent rebalancing can be impractical due to transaction costs. Second, errors in specifying the model for the underlying price movement (model specification ...

in this paper, in order to optimize the portfolio consisting of selected industrial stocks of petroleum products, automobiles and parts, electrical industry and extraction of minerals from tehran stock exchange member, first, time – varying conditional covariance matrix has been estimated based on the following multivariate garch models: diagonal-vech (1,1), ccc (1,1) and diagonal -bekk (1,1). ...

We study the dynamic relation between aggregate mutual fund flow and market-wide volatility. Using daily flow data and a VAR approach, we find that market volatility is negatively related to concurrent and lagged flow. A structural VAR impulse response analysis suggests that shock in flow has a negative impact on market volatility: An inflow (outflow) shock predicts a decline (an increase) in v...

Efficient financial markets with high degree of transparency do not substantiate the hypothesis that there are differences in the volatility of return. Generally, there are factors rejecting any perfect similarity in the volatility of return in the emerging stock markets, as previous studies in Iran have confirmed the complete difference. On the other hand, the hybrid model PANEL-GARCH has the ...

Modeling financial volatility is an important part of empirical finance. This paper provides a literature review of the most relevant volatility models, with a particular focus on forecasting models. We firstly discuss the empirical foundations of different kinds of volatility. The paper, then, analyses the non-parametric measure of volatility, named realized variance, and its empirical applica...

the purpose of this research is to examine the existence of seasonality in the stock market return, its volatility and trading amount associated with moving calendar events such as the holy month of ramadan using a garch specification and data for the tehran stock exchange (tse) from april 1998 to june 2010. the result shows a statistically significant increase in returns and a systematic patte...

Much research has focused upon the dynamics of the conditional volatility of financial asset returns. Broadly speaking there are two important features of the process underlying volatility. These may be described as either a sign effect, where the level of volatility is related to the sign of past returns or a size effect, where the dynamics of volatility are related to prevailing level of vola...