نتایج جستجو برای: and exponential smoothing methods were applied

تعداد نتایج: 16957410  

Journal: :Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) 2022

Commodity prices forecasting is one of the business functions to estimate future demand based on past data trend. This study aims implement a trial and error technique constant (alpha α) value in exponential smoothing method. Dealing with confusion that often researchers find selecting an alpha (α) among families, which suits characteristics investigated case. As selection precisely contributes...

2006
Baki Billah Maxwell L. King Ralph D. Snyder Anne B. Koehler

Applications of exponential smoothing to forecasting time series usually rely on three basic methods: simple exponential smoothing, trend corrected exponential smoothing and a seasonal variation thereof. A common approach to selecting the method appropriate to a particular time series is based on prediction validation on a withheld part of the sample using criteria such as the mean absolute per...

2005
Baki Billah Maxwell L King Anne B Koehler Anne B. Koehler

Applications of exponential smoothing to forecast time series usually rely on three basic methods: simple exponential smoothing, trend corrected exponential smoothing and a seasonal variation thereof. A common approach to select the method appropriate to a particular time series is based on prediction validation on a withheld part of the sample using criteria such as the mean absolute percentag...

Bullwhip effect in a supply chain, makes inefficiencies such as excess inventory and overdue orders during the chain. These problems can be reduced by appropriate predictions. Forecasting must be done in all levels of a supply chain. This research addresses the problem of optimal combination of forecasting to reduce the bullwhip effect in a four-level supply chain when demand is variable. For t...

پایان نامه :دانشگاه تربیت معلم - تهران - دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی 1389

abstract the primary purpose of this study was to explore the actual practices and cognitions of two groups of iranian eap teachers, i.e. language teachers and content teachers, with respect to teaching reading-comprehension and vocabulary. to this end, tehran university of medical sciences which authorizes both groups of teachers to teach eap courses was selected as the context of the study s...

پایان نامه :دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی - دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد تهران مرکزی - دانشکده زبانهای خارجی 1390

acknowledgements i wish to express my gratitude to all those who have helped me in preparing this thesis. i would like to express my deep gratitude to my respected advisor dr. kourosh akef, whose advice and comments helped me in the early stages of the research and throughout the writing process. i would also like to express my gratitude to dr. hajar khanmohammad whose invaluable guidance he...

پایان نامه :دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی - دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد تهران مرکزی - دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی 1391

abstract: one of the most visited & important spaces in different countries by tourist are urban areas. the old tehran which major part is located in district 12 is historical showcase of the capital, but, its hiidden cultural attraction is not used as it should be. this thesis occasionally engage in studying the efficacy of correct installation of travel guide boards in welfare & easily acc...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه تربیت مدرس 1382

‏‎the main purpose of this research was to:1.develop a coking model for thermal cracking of naphtha.2.study coke inhibition methods using different coke inhibitors.developing a coking model in naphtha cracking reactors requires a suitable model of the thermal cracking reactor based on a reliable kinetic model.to obtain reliable results all these models shall be solved simultaneously.for this pu...

Journal: :چغندرقند 0
منصور یاعلی جهرمی استادیار دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی جهرم حمید محمدی استادیار دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی جهرم

agricultural prices have a high fluctuation and forecasting may help decision making effectively. the aim of this study was to forecast the nominal and real prices of sugar beet and to recognize the appropriate forecasting model. initially the stationary of the series was tested. in order to investigate whether the series are stochastic, the nonparametric test of vald-wulfowitz and parametric t...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه یاسوج - دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی 1392

an investigation into oral interaction in language classes: a conversation analytic point of view the aim of this thesis is to analyze the interaction between language teachers and students in english language institutes. this work is done in the context of yasuj city. learning another language, which is in most cases english, involves many variables. one of these variables is the linguistic...

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