This paper explores the relationships behind previous findings that Federal Reserve interest rate policies have a larger impact on black unemployment compared to white unemployment. Most earlier studies employ a VAR methodology, which does not, however, permit a structural analysis of key relationships. This paper accounts for the endogeneity of unemployment, inflation, and the federal funds ra...

It has long been argued (Blanchard et al., 1992; Blanchard and Katz, 1997) that shifts in local labor market conditions, geographic variation in labor force demographics (labor supply), and sectoral shifts in industrial patterns (labor demand) might influence the natural rate of unemployment. On the supply side of the labor market this could occur through divergent trends in differential attach...

as social health is a condition-driven, dynamic and fluid concept, it seems necessary to construct and obtain a national and relevant concept of it for every society. providing an empirical back up for iran's concept of social health was the aim of the present study.this study is an ecologic study in which available data for 30 provinces of iran in 2007 were analyzed. in order to prove construc...

In this paper we use smooth transition vector error-correction models (STVECMs) in a simulated out-of-sample forecasting experiment for the unemployment rates of the four non-Euro G-7 countries, the U.S., U.K., Canada, and Japan. In the forecasting analysis, pooled forecasts constructed by taking the median value across the point forecasts generated by the linear VECM and the STVECMs generally ...

AIMS To examine the relation between unemployment rates in area of residence and all-cause mortality, taking the individuals' unemployment experience and a number of social and behavioural factors into account. METHODS Prospective cohort study with record linkage to mortality and unemployment registers. Data were pooled data from two population studies conducted in Copenhagen, Denmark. The as...