This paper develops a dynamic general-equilibrium (DGE) model of a small open economy to investigate alternative monetary rules, differing primarily in the degree to which they allow for exchange rate flexibility. A central argument of the paper is that the nature of the trade-off between fixed and floating exchange rates may be quite different in mature industrial economies than in emerging-ma...

This paper uses descriptive statistics and regression analyses to esamine the relationship between exchange rate variability and output volatility in developed countries based on 1961 to 1984 data. The results indicate that a flexible exchange rate system is associated with less, not more, dispersion in output growth across industrialized countries despite a more turbulent global environment. A...

This paper presents an efficient currency option pricing model based on support vector regression (SVR). This model focuses on selection of input variables of SVR. We apply stochastic volatility model with jumps to SVR in order to account for sudden big changes in exchange rate volatility. We use forward exchange rate as the input variable of SVR, since forward exchange rate takes interest rate...

in this paper, we investigate variations of gold coin price and also probe to model the fluctuations and conditional variance of coin market returns. the data consist of daily market prices of gold coin over the 1380 – 1386 period. since volatility clustering is viewed in time series of returns, we employ arch (autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity) methodology in order to model the var...

exchange rate and national income of countries trading with each other are among the most important factors affecting each country's trade. considering the political and economic ties between iran and venezuela in recent years, the goal of this paper was to investigate the effect of exchange rate volatility on exports of iran to venezuela. data used in this research include annual data for...

The relative value of currencies varies considerably over time. These fluctuations bring uncertainty to international traders. As a result, the volatility in exchange rate movements may influence the volume and the price of traded commodities. The volatility of exchange rates was measured by the variance of residuals in a GARCH(1,1) model of the exchange rate. We estimated the effect of this ex...

The present study was conducted to examine the extent and direction of exchange rate volatility and its impact on macroeconomic performance of Pakistan. It is implied that exchange rate volatility has direct bearings on macroeconomic variables and thus on macroeconomic performance. This study also investigates the effect of exchange rate (independent variable) of Pak Rupee to US Dollar on selec...