Simple exponential smoothing (SES) methods are the most commonly used methods in forecasting and time series analysis. However, they are generally insensitive to non-stationary structural events such as level shifts, ramp shifts, and spikes or impulses. Similar to that of outliers in stationary time series, these non-stationary events will lead to increased level of errors in the forecasting pr...

parameters as interception, infiltration, water storage on surface holes and soil profile, evapotranspiration are factors of loss water in a watershed and avoid from changing of precipitation to runoff. in this study, by use of hec-hms model and comparison of results of different methods of precipitation loss evaluation (initial and constant, green & ampt, scs curve number, deficit & constant a...

in this paper, we develop an efficient legendre wavelets collocation method for well known time-fractional heat equation. inthe proposed method, we apply operational matrix of fractionalintegration to obtain numerical solution of the inhomogeneoustime-fractional heat equation with lateral heat loss and dirichletboundary conditions. the power of this manageable method isconfirmed. moreover, the ...

We present a fully quantum mechanical methodology for calculating complex-time correlation functions by evaluating the discretized path integral expression iteratively on a grid selected by a Monte Carlo procedure. Both the grid points and the summations performed in each iteration utilize importance sampling, leading to favorable scaling with the number of particles, while the stepwise evaluat...

Testing of VLSI chips is changing into significantly complicated day by day as a result of increasing exponential advancement of NANO technology. BIST may be a style technique that enables a system to check mechanically itself with slightly larger system size. During this paper, the simulation result performance achieved by BIST enabled UART design through VHDL programming is enough to compensa...

Nanosheets of MFI zeolite were successfully synthesized by hydrothermal method and were properly characterized by XRD, FE-SEM, EDX-dot mapping, TEM, FT-IR, N2 adsorption/desorption, NH3-TPD, ICP-AES and TGA techniques. The characterizations of MFI zeolite nanosheets suitably confirmed well synthesized MFI nanostructure, superior specific surface area (695.96m2.g-1) and great mesopores volume. C...

In this paper, the typical exponential method, diamond difference and modified time discrete scheme is researched for self adaptive time step. The second-order time evolution scheme is applied to time-dependent spherical neutron transport equation by discrete ordinates method. The numerical results show that second-order time evolution scheme associated exponential method has some good properti...

In this paper we present a stochastic extension of finite PBC, sPBC, in which actions have a stochastic delay associated, which is taken from a negative exponential distribution. We define for the language both an operational and a denotational semantics, using a class of labelled stochastic Petri net as supporting values. In this paper we restrict our attention to finite sPBC, i.e., we conside...

Abstract − This paper presents an operational space output feedback controller for non-redundant robot manipulators to achieve trajectory tracking without velocity measurements. The overall system can achieve a semi-global exponential stability (SGES) result for the position, orientation and velocity tracking errors as well as velocity observation errors. Experimental results of the proposed co...

in this paper, operational matrices of riemann-liouville fractional integration and caputo fractional differentiation for shifted jacobi polynomials are considered. using the given initial conditions, we transform the fractional differential equation (fde) into a modified fractional differential equation with zero initial conditions. next, all the existing functions in modified differential equ...