An alternative to the Engle-Granger tests is the Cointegration Regression Durbin-Watson (CRDW) test of Sargan and Bhargava (1983). The test involves a simple regression of one variable on the other, and the standard Durbin-Watson test on the residuals. Recall the null for the DW test is that the residuals form a nonstationary random walk, whereas the alternative hypothesis is that the residuals...

drought is random and nonlinear phenomenon and using linear stochastic models, nonlinear artificial neural network and hybrid models is advantaged for drought forecasting. this paper presents the performances of autoregressive integrated moving average (arima), direct multi-step neural network (dmsnn), recursive multi-step neural network (rmsnn), hybrid stochastic neural network of directive ap...

in this paper, using generalized {polya} urn models we find the expected value of the size of a branch in recursive $k$-ary trees. we also find the expectation of the number of nodes of a given outdegree in a branch of such trees.