نتایج جستجو برای: مدلهای نامتقارن garch
تعداد نتایج: 11390 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
In this paper we investigate the properties of the Lagrange Multiplier LM test for autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity ARCH and generalized ARCH GARCH in the presence of additive outliers AO s We show an alytically that both the asymptotic size and power are adversely a ected if AO s are neglected the test rejects the null hypothesis of homoskedasticity too often when it is in fact tr...
We introduce a new semiparametric model, GARCH with Functional EX ogeneous Liquidity (GARCH-FunXL), to capture the impact of liquidity, as implied by a stock exchange’s complete electronic limit order book (LOB), on asset price volatility. LOB-implied liquidity can be viewed as a functional rather than scalar or vectorial stochastic process. We adopt recent ideas from the functional data analys...
There is a compelling need to accurately and efficiently compute option values. Existing literature shows that models based on constant stock volatilities have been widely used in option valuation. However, stock volatilities change constantly in real life situations. The introduction of the Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) model and subsequently, the Generalized Auto Regre...
We propose a new method for pricing options based on GARCH models with filtered historical innovations. In an incomplete market framework, we allow for different distributions of historical and pricing return dynamics enhancing the model flexibility to fit market option prices. An extensive empirical analysis based on S&P 500 index options shows that our model outperforms other competing GARCH ...
This study employed the Hinich portmanteau bicorrelation test (Hinich and Patterson, 1995; Hinich, 1996) as a diagnostic tool to determine the adequacy of the GARCH model in describing the returns generating process of Malaysia’s stock market, specifically the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange Composite Index (KLSE CI). The bicorrelation results demonstrated that, while GARCH model is commonly applie...
This paper considers the pricing of options when there are jumps in the pricing kernel and correlated jumps in asset prices and volatilities. We extend theory developed by Nelson (1990) and Duan (1997) by considering limiting models for our resulting approximating GARCH-Jump process. Limiting cases of our processes consist of models where both asset price and local volatility follow jump diffus...
در طول سالیان گذشته استفاده از فرآیند¬های Markov-switching (MS) جهت مدل¬نمودن دینامیک غیرخطی تلاطم سری¬های زمانی مالی به دلیل انعطاف¬پذیری آن در لحاظ ساختارهای مختلف برای داده¬ها به طور قابل ملاحظه¬ای افزایش یافته است. فرض متداول توزیع بازده، نرمال می-باشد در حالی که تحقیقات نشان داده است سری¬های زمانی مالی دارای چولگی معناداری نیز می¬باشند که چشم¬پوشی از آن می¬تواند منجر به خطا در پیش¬بینی که ...
Money supply and velocity of money are important variables that affect inflation and product. Velocity of money is a key concept for economic policy, and it's getting more important since it is closely related to behavior of the demand for money. In this regard, Friedman believes that the volatility of money growth is the main factor of velocity of money, which in monetary economics literature ...
دو گروه از مدلهای انتگرال پذیر با پتانسیل های از نوع استاکل و چگالی تیز در سیستم مختصات بیضوی مورد بررسی قرار می گیرند و مدارهای ستارگان در پتانسیل های مربوطه استخراج می گردند. سپس با استفاده از روش برنامه ریزی خطی شوارتزشیلد، خودسازگاری مدلهای انتخاب شده بررسی می گردد. هدف از این پروژه تایید یا رد وجود سیستمهای ستاره ای صفحه ای نامتقارن با توزیع دانسیته تیز می باشد که حدس بر این است که تشکیل د...
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