of Workshop 2015 -Advances in DEA Theory and Applications with Extensions to Forecasting Models Date December 1 st -2 nd , 2015 Venue: Conference Room 4A, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (GRIPS) Workshop Organizer: Prof. Kaoru Tone, GRIPS December 1 st , 13:25-17:00 13:25-13:30 Opening Remarks: Prof. Kaoru Tone (GRIPS, Japan) 13:30-15:00 Session 1. Chair: Prof. Joseph Paradi (Uni...

A systematic comparison of two basic types of neural network, static and dynamic, is presented in this study. Two backpropagation (BP) learning optimization algorithms, the standard BP and conjugate gradient (CG) method, are used for the static network, and the real-time recurrent learning (RTRL) algorithm is used for the dynamic-feedback network. Twenty-three storm-events, about 1632 rainfall ...

the forecasting of hydrological variables, such as streamflow, plays an important role in water resource planning and management. recently, the development of stochastic models is regarded as a major step for this purpose. streamflow forecasting using the arima model can be conducted when unknown parameters are estimated correctly because parameter estimation is one of the crucial steps in mode...

Analysis and prediction of stock market time series data has attracted considerable interest from the research community over the last decade. Rapid development and evolution of sophisticated algorithms for statistical analysis of time series data, and availability of high-performance hardware has made it possible to process and analyze high volume stock market time series data effectively, in ...

Reliable forecasts of relativistic electrons at geostationary orbit (GEO) are important for the mitigation of their hazardous effects on spacecraft at GEO. For a number of years the Space Weather Prediction Center at NOAA has provided advanced online forecasts of the fluence of electrons with energy >2 MeV at GEO using the Relativistic Electron Forecast Model (REFM). The REFM forecasts are base...

This paper presents a new, accurate load forecasting technique robust to fluctuations due to unusual load behavioral changes in buildings, i.e., the potential for small commercial buildings with heterogeneous stores. The proposed scheme is featured with two functional components: data classification by daily characteristics and automatic forecast model switching. The scheme extracts daily chara...

This work examines recent publications in forecasting in various fields, these include: wind power forecasting; electricity load forecasting; crude oil price forecasting; gold price forecasting energy price forecasting etc. In this review, categorization of the processes involve in forecasting are divided into four major steps namely: input features selection; data pre-processing; forecast mode...

The availability and efficient use of the feed resources in India are the primary drivers to maximize productivity of Indian livestock. Feed security is vital to the livestock management, extent of use, conservation and productivity enhancement. Assessment and forecasting of livestock feed resources are most important for effective planning and policy making. In the present study, 40 years of d...