A hidden Markov model is considered where the dynamics of the hidden process change at a random ‘change point’ . In principle this gives rise to a non-linear filter but closed form recursive estimates are obtained for the conditional distribution of the hidden process and of .

In this paper, for the first time, the subject of change point estimation has been utilized in the stationary state of auto regressive moving average (ARMA) (1, 1). In the monitoring phase, in case the features of the question pursue a time series, i.e., ARMA(1,1), on the basis of the maximum likelihood technique, an approach will be developed for the estimation of the stationary state’s change...

A Bayesian analysis is used to detect a change-point in a sequence of independent random variables from exponential distributions. In This paper, we try to estimate change point which occurs in any sequence of independent exponential observations. The Bayes estimators are derived for change point, the rate of exponential distribution before shift and the rate of exponential distribution after s...

Change point estimation in the area of statistical process control has received considerable attentions in the recent decades because it helps process engineer to identify and remove assignable causes as quickly as possible. On the other hand, improving in measurement systems and data storage, lead to taking observations very close to each other in time and as a result increasing autocorrelatio...

when a change occurs in a process, one expects to receive a signal from a control chart as quickly as possible. upon the receipt of signal from the control chart a search for identifying the source of disturbance begins. however, searching for assignable cause around the signal time, due to the fact that the disturbance may have manifested itself into the rocess sometimes back, may not always l...

Use of risk adjusted control charts for monitoring patients’ surgical outcomes is now popular.These charts are developed based on considering the patient’s pre-operation risks. Change point detection is a crucial problem in statistical process control (SPC).It helpsthe managers toanalyzeroot causes of out-of-control conditions more effectively. Since the control chart signals do not necessarily...