The paper by Barry Eichengreen and Ricardo Haussman is correct to focus on the policies that the emerging market countries (EMC) themselves can pursue to reduce the risk of future economic crises, instead of discussing new policies for the IMF or for the industrial countries that some analysts hope might achieve that goal. I agree with their emphasis on EMC self-help and on the multiple causes ...

the frequent occurrence of currency crises in recent years brought the early warning literature back in the researchers spotlight. in recent years, concept of an early warning system (ews) developed that should be able to identify various costly events, such as currency crises, early enough for policy makers to reduce the costs. this study attempted by using iran's economy quarterly data d...

This paper presents a institutional framework for the currency basket peg system. After the Asian currency crisis, the needs of seeking adaptive currency system has risen up but the best currency system has not still appeared. In this paper, we propose the model of “the currency basket peg system”. This model realize the currency basket peg system on the computer. With using it, we investigate ...

Existing models of currency crisis were powerless to explain what happened. This was not a ‘first generation’ currency crisis brought about by excess budget deficits, as in Krugman (1979). Nor was the crisis caused by a conflict between the austerity needed to defend a fixed exchange and the expansion needed to remove high unemployment, as in Britain’s forced exit from the ERM in 1992 (Eichengr...

Implementation and collapse of exchange rate pegging schemes are recurrent events. A currency crisis is often followed by an economic downturn while pegging often begets a boom. In this paper I study why a benevolent central bank should pursue a monetary policy that leads to those recurrent currency crises and subsequent periods of pegging. I show that the optimal policy induces a competitive e...

This paper addresses two questions: (i) how do governments actually pay for the Þscal costs associated with currency crises; and (ii) what are the implications of different Þnancing methods for post-crisis rates of inßation and depreciation? We study these questions using a general equilibrium model in which a currency crisis is triggered by prospective government deÞcits. We then use our model...

We address three questions: (i) Can classical models be reconciled with the fact that many crises are marked by high rates of depreciation and small increases in seignorage revenue? (ii) What are the implications of different financing methods for post-crisis rates of inflation and depreciation? (iii) How do governments pay for the fiscal costs associated with currency crises? To study these qu...

The coincidence of banking and currency crises associated with the Asian financial crisis has drawn renewed attention to causal and common factors linking the two phenomena. In this paper, we analyze the incidence and underlying causes of banking and currency crises in 90 industrial and developed countries over the 1975-97 period. We measure the individual and joint (“twin”) occurrence of bank ...

This paper addresses two questions: (i) how do governments actually pay for the Þscal costs associated with currency crises; and (ii) what are the implications of different Þnancing methods for post-crisis rates of inßation and depreciation? We study these questions using a general equilibrium model in which a currency crisis is triggered by prospective government deÞcits. We then use our model...