Several artificial neural network (ANN) models with a feed-forward, back-propagation network structure and various training algorithms, are developed to forecast daily and monthly river flow discharges in Manwan Reservoir. In order to test the applicability of these models, they are compared with a conventional time series flow prediction model. Results indicate that the ANN models provide bett...

One of the main tasks to analyze and design a mining system is predicting the behavior exhibited by prices in the future. In this paper, the applications of different prediction methods are evaluated in econometrics and financial management fields, such as ARIMA, TGARCH, and stochastic differential equations, for the time-series of monthly copper prices. Moreover, the performance of these metho...

Prediction of the production of a group of remaining months from the record of any month.. ................................................................ 2Y1 Prediction of annual production from the sum of two monthly records. ............. 289 Prediction of the production of a group of remaining months from the sum of two monthly records. ........................................................

short term prediction of traffic flow is one of the most essential elements of all proactive traffic control systems. although various methodologies have been applied to forecast traffic parameters, several researchers have showed that compared with the individual methods, hybrid methods provide more accurate results . these results made the hybrid tools and approaches a more common method for ...

Reliable and accurate streamflow prediction plays a critical role in watershed water resources planning management. We developed new hybrid SWAT-WSVR model based on 12 hydrological sites the Illinois River (IRW), U.S., that integrated Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) with Support Vector Regression (SVR) calibration method coupled discrete wavelet transforms (DWT) to better support modeling wat...

prediction of hydrological variables is a highly effective tool in water resource management. One of the important tools for modeling hydrological processes is the use of time series modeling and analysis. River series production series can be used by time series models in various studies such as drought, flood, reservoir systems design and many other purposes For this purpose, monthly flow dat...

Periodic autoregressive moving average (PARMA) models are indicated for time series whose mean, variance and covariance function vary with the season. In this study, we develop and implement forecasting procedures for PARMA models. Forecasts are developed using the innovations algorithm, along with an idea of Ansley. A formula for the asymptotic error variance is provided, so that Gaussian pred...