نتایج جستجو برای: the time series models adf

تعداد نتایج: 16351317  

پایان نامه :دانشگاه تربیت معلم - تهران - دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی 1391

efl/esl textbooks have been regarded as essential language teaching materials with which the learners spend about 70 up to 90 percent of their class time. the important role they play and their vast use make them not only influential in learning the language but also in shaping values and attitudes. put it another way, textbooks socialize learners using their contents (i.e. texts, illustrations...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه تربیت مدرس - دانشکده مهندسی 1387

abstract this paper discusses several commonly used models for strategic marketing¹ including market environmental analysis methods (i.e. swot and pest analysis) and strategic marketing tools and techniques (i.e. boston matrix and shell directional policy matrix)and shows how these models may help a firm to achieve its strategic goals. at first, the main reason for doing this research is de...

1997
ZHIJIE XIAO PETER C. B. PHILLIPS PETER C.B. PHILLIPS

This paper proposes an Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) coefficient test for detecting the presence of a unit root in autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models of unknown order. Although the limit distribution of the coefficient estimate depends on nuisance parameters, a simple transformation can be applied to eliminate the nuisance parameter asymptotically, providing an ADF coefficient test for...

1998
ZHIJIE XIAO PETER C.B. PHILLIPS Zhijie Xiao

This paper proposes an Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) coefficient test for detecting the presence of a unit root in autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models of unknown order. Although the limit distribution of the coefficient estimate depends on nuisance parameters, a simple transformation can be applied to eliminate the nuisance parameter asymptotically, providing an ADF coefficient test for...

Journal: Iranian Economic Review 2015
Amar Singh Shailender Singh,

This study aims to evaluate the link between economic growth and consumer price index (CPI) in Japan for the period of 1980-2014. Initial series were adjusted for stationarity using the Augmented Dickey- Fuller (ADF) test for unit root followed by the application of Johansen Co-integration Test in order to examine the long-run relationship among the variables, while the causalities were evaluat...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی 1390

over the past decades a number of approaches have been applied for forecasting mortality. in 1992, a new method for long-run forecast of the level and age pattern of mortality was published by lee and carter. this method was welcomed by many authors so it was extended through a wider class of generalized, parametric and nonlinear model. this model represents one of the most influential recent d...

Journal: :journal of arthropod-borne diseases 0
afshin ostovar epidemiology and biostatistics department, school of public health, tehran university of medical sciences, tehran, iran ali akbar haghdoost research center for modeling in health, institute for future studies in health, kerman university of medical sciences, kerman, iran abbas rahimiforoushani epidemiology and biostatistics department, school of public health, tehran university of medical sciences, tehran, iran ahmad raeisi malaria control office of moh and me, tehran university of medical sciences, tehran, iran reza majdzadeh knowledge utilization research center, tehran university of medical sciences, tehran, iran

background: the malaria early warning system is defined as the use of prognostic variables for predicting the occurrence of malaria epidemics several months in advance. the principal objective of this study was to provide a malaria prediction model by using meteorological variables and historical malaria morbidity data for malaria-en­demic areas in south eastern iran. methods: a total of 2002 l...

Journal: :اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی 0
رضا مقدسی میترا ژاله رجبی

abstract autoregressive integrated moving average (arima) has been one of the widely used linear models in time series forecasting during the past three decades. recent studies revealed the superiority of artificial neural network (ann) over traditional linear models in forecasting. but neither arima nor anns can be adequate in modeling and forecasting time series since the first model cannot d...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه ارومیه - دانشکده ادبیات و زبانهای خارجی 1391

esl/efl books play a crucial role in shaping language learners worldview of gender roles in society. the present study investigated the status of sexism in two sets of efl textbooks, one developed by non-native iranian authors (ili series) and the other by native authors (top notch series). first, two books from each series was selected randomly. then, a quantitative analysis was carried out wi...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه پیام نور - دانشگاه پیام نور مرکز - دانشکده زبانهای خارجی 1391

the primary goal of the current project was to examine the effect of three different treatments, namely, models with explicit instruction, models with implicit instruction, and models alone on differences between the three groups of subjects in the use of the elements of argument structures in terms of toulmins (2003) model (i.e., claim, data, counterargument claim, counterargument data, rebutt...

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